A couple of trends are battling here as the Rams are 14-6 ATS off a loss under Sean McVay, while the Seahawks are on a 12-4 ATS streak as an underdog. Neither of those long-term trends take into account the teams as constructed this year with Los Angeles boasting an even better offensive attack behind Matthew Stafford as Seattle consistently struggles to keep Russell Wilson in the pocket. The Rams enter off an embarrassing loss to the Cardinals and may be slightly undervalued here in a rare situation. The Seahawks, meanwhile, just got outgained by more than 200 yards in a win against the 49ers, which lost their starting quarterback to injury. I like LA to pull off the road cover on a short week.

Most models have this essentially as a tie game, but I simply can't go against Russell Wilson in a prime-time home game with his stellar record. Home-field advantage can be overrated at times, but not in Seattle. The Hawks aren't home dogs often but are 9-1 ATS in their past 10 as such. The Rams are 1-3 ATS in their past four as road favorites. It's quite possible LA wins by a 1-2 points and we still get the W.

I think we saw last week that this Rams team has a ceiling. The Cardinals beat up on them pretty good, and I expect the Seahawks to do the same to L.A. I don't think we've seen the best of Seattle yet. The Seahawks cover as a home dog.

It's been a short week for the Rams, who are coming off a home loss to Arizona. Now they face Seattle QB Russell Wilson, who has been running for his life. The Seahawks won at banged-up San Francisco last week, but let’s not forget they have the worst-ranked defense in the NFL thanks to an overtime loss to Tennessee in Week 2 and their setback at Minnesota the following week. I expect Los Angeles to bounce back and cover with its defense.

Two franchises very familiar with one another and even more so now that first-year Seahawks offensive coordinator Shane Waldron was formerly the Rams' passing game coordinator. None of the past four in this series have topped 50 points. The total has gone Under in 10 of the Rams' past 14 as road favorites and in 10 of the Seahawks' past 13 overall with an average total combined score of 43.5 points. The SportsLine Projection Model forecasts 49 points tonight. Jeff Sagarin 51. Believe Mike McClure said on the Early Edge his model had it around 51 as well.

Since 2013, the Seattle Seahawks have been 9-0 overall on Thursday Night Football. Russell Wilson stated this week that he thrives when preparing on short weeks. Although the Seahawks are a bit dinged up, look for Wilson to have key improvisational plays that will thwart the Rams' defense. Grab the home team here in Seattle.

This line has swelled to the point where I prefer the money-line. Sean McVay is 6-3 vs. Pete Carroll and now he has Matthew Stafford instead of Jared Goff to pick apart a bad Seattle defense. The Seahawks have allowed the most yards in the league. They're 2-2 because they've only committed one turnover and because they got to face an unprepared Trey Lance last week. Even so, a blown coverage enabled Lance to hit Deebo Samuel for an easy 76-yard touchdown. With Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, DeSean Jackson, Van Jefferson and Tyler Higbee at his disposal, Stafford should bounce back from his first game with a sub-102 passer rating.

Weirdly enough I actually love the Rams on a short week here on the road. Yes, they were just trounced by the Cardinals but they won't be the last, Arizona's explosive offense (and underrated defense) will do that a few more times to teams this season. But what I like in this spot for Los Angeles is that there isn't time to think about last week. Lost to a good team. Fine. Nothing big that you need to change, no "Come to Jesus" meeting necessary. Business trip and I think they handle it accordingly. Sean McVay is 5-1 ATS in his last six off a divisional loss. Seattle? 2-5 ATS off a divisional win.

You'll hear a lot about the Seahawks' excellent history on Thursdays, where they're 7-1-2 ATS since Russell Wilson joined the team along with nine straight outright wins. But that doesn't take into account the 2021 Seahawks, who have been troubled by inconsistency moving the ball to the point they totaled minus-12 yards on their first five drives last week, as well as a defense that has allowed 450 yards to three straight opponents (including one with a rookie QB subbing in mid-game). The Rams got a wakeup call last week but are still the team that beat the defending champs pretty handily, and I have much more confidence in them right now than I do the Seahawks.