Cincinnati already has won at Tennessee and at Kansas City in the postseason. Both of those challenges were tougher than facing the Rams in a neutral-site Super Bowl, even if the game is in the L.A. area. And the Bengals defense absolutely shut down the Chiefs in the second half of the AFC Championship Game, and the Rams' offense poses less of a challenge. Officially, I'm taking Cincinnati to cover in a close game, and I wouldn't talk anyone out of also playing the Rams on the moneyline in an attempt to "middle" the game.

There's too much skill on these offenses to think this game will stay Under: Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase and Joe Mixon on Cincinnati; Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham Jr. on Los Angeles. These teams both averaged 27.1 points a game in the regular season, which tied for seventh in the league. Also, unless you're expecting a game in the teens, there are very few score combinations that stay Under. We win with 23-23 or 24-24 in regulation. We also win with 26-23 or 28-21. I think this is pretty simple. Take the Over.

A week ago, I took San Francisco against Green Bay and said the 49ers were my pick to win the Super Bowl. While I was correct on the game, I'm backing off San Francisco to win it all. I just don't like the way that quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has been playing; I think he will cost them this game. Meanwhile the Rams have a good defense and a quarterback, Matthew Stafford, who's finally getting his chance to shine in the playoffs. I love L.A.

I think this will be a tight, defensive game. Both defenses are good. Most importantly, San Francisco will try to control the clock with its dangerous running game, which should eat up the clock and shorten the game. Three of the last four meetings between these teams stayed Under this number, and those games were not played under the crucible of the playoffs. I'm bullish on the Under.

I like the Chiefs for the same reasons I liked them last week: Patrick Mahomes, who is as talented as any quarterback to ever play the game, throwing to Tyreek Hill deep and Travis Kelce short. I also think the home field advantage will end up being a huge edge for Kansas City. Some people question how the Chiefs will rebound after last week's draining win, but I trust Andy Reid will have them ready. I'm high on Kansas City.

This total seems far too low. These teams played in Week 17 at Cincinnati and scored a combined 65 points. Last week the Chiefs scored 42 points against arguably the best defense in the NFL. I think Joe Burrow and the Bengals will put up some points too. This number seems too good to be true. Give me the Over.

I originally liked the Bills in this game, but I changed my mind to Kansas City. Too much is being made of Buffalo's win over the Chiefs earlier in the season. Kansas City was playing poorly back then. But the Chiefs have won 10 of their last 11 games with the only loss being a three-point defeat at Cincinnati. Bills quarterback Josh Allen played a near-perfect game last week at home against New England, but I don't trust him doing that again -- this time on the road. Give me Kansas City.

I like the way the Rams are playing. They blew out Arizona on Monday and have won six of their last seven games with their only loss coming to the 49ers. With all of the acquisitions the front office made in the offseason, this team is built to make a run in the playoffs. Remember, the Rams handily beat the Buccaneers earlier this season. I think Aaron Donald & Co. get to Tom Brady a couple of times. This pick may surprise some people, but I love L.A.

Right now, San Francisco is my pick to win the Super Bowl, so I love the 49ers at this number. Deebo Samuel and George Kittle are sensational, and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo is playing winning football. San Francisco also is playing strong defense, which you can't say about Green Bay. The Packers have been prone to give up points. I'll happily take the 49ers.

With all signs pointing to running back Derrick Henry playing on Saturday, the Titans have all of their big-play guys back. That includes receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones. I also love Mike Vrabel as a coach. Tennessee already has beaten Kansas City and Buffalo this season, and I would put those teams on a level above Cincinnati. I'm confident in the Titans.

I think the Rams crush the Cardinals. With all of its acquisitions (Matthew Stafford, Von Miller, etc.), Los Angeles was built to make a deep run in the playoffs. Receiver Cooper Kupp is having a spectacular season, and coach Sean McVay is proven in the postseason, already having led the Rams to the Super Bowl. I love L.A.

The Steelers are lucky just to be here. While their defense is good, their offense struggles to score, and they'll need to score to even keep this game close. I think the Chiefs know that they need to start playing the way they know how to, and I expect we'll see their best game on Sunday. Kansas City coach Andy Reid's teams are 11-5 when playing their first playoff game. Blowout city. Chiefs cover.

This is one of my best bets this weekend. I think the 49ers are legitimate Super Bowl contenders. They are so unique in the way they pound and pound the ball. Their running game will help diminish one of the Cowboys' biggest strengths: the pass rush. I also like the way Jimmy Garoppolo is playing. I love San Francisco.

This is a mismatch. Tom Brady and the reigning Super Bowl champs are just too good for Philadelphia. They're experienced, they have the greatest quarterback of all-time and they have the pieces on defenses to slow the Eagles' run game. This one won't be close.

I really don't like how the Patriots ended the season, losing three of their last four games, including a 33-24 loss at Miami last week. Their only win over that time came against Jacksonville, the worst team in the league. The Bills also beat New England, 33-21, just three weeks ago. I think that matchup between the teams is a better gauge than the first matchup, which the Patriots won but was played in crazy windy conditions. Buffalo has ended the season on a roll, winning four straight games by an average of 15.0 points. I'm on the Bills.