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The Eagles enter winners of four straight (Giants twice, Cowboys, Washington). The Seahawks have lost three of the last four games (along with all of their running backs). Yet Philadelphia is basically a pick 'em at home in a playoff game. There's a reason: Seattle is the better team. Russell Wilson has dominated the Eagles historically, while Carson Wentz has struggled against the Seahawks. I do like that Philly has Miles Sanders and Zach Ertz back, but Seattle should do just fine with a balanced offensive attack. The Seahawks are 7-1 straight up and 5-2-1 ATS on the road this season. The Eagles are 3-5 ATS at home.
Wish I'd jumped on this earlier but I'll still back Philly at home to avenge its regular-season loss to Seattle. The yardage in that first matchup was about even, but Seattle was plus-3 in turnover margin and got 129 rushing yards from Rashaad Penny. He's out today, as is Chris Carson. The Seahawks' injuries are just as significant as the Eagles' absences. With Miles Sanders ready to go, look for Philly to run the ball well against a Seattle D that's been gashed on the ground the past three games.
The Eagles are incredibly banged up and have been an average team for most of the season. The Seahawks are 11-5, but guess what? They're just as banged up as the Eagles, and their 11-5 record isn't nearly as good as it might suggest. In fact, the Eagles have a better point differential on the season than Seattle does. The wrong team is favored, I don't care what Philly's win-loss record is. It's the same team as Seattle.
Yes, the Eagles enter the playoffs about as injured as a team can be that still has its starting QB. The Seahawks also have the massive strength of schedule advantage, which isn't a trend I typically like to fade. But these Eagles prove year in and year out how resilient they are at this time of the year, as they're 5-0 ATS as playoff underdogs over the last two years. Home underdogs are 16-7-1 ATS in the wild-card round all-time, and I think the formula is there to exploit a Seahawks team that's not as good as its record. This should be a close game, but I like Doug Pederson to make the right game decisions and squeak out a win.
The Eagles have had to overcome so much to get here. That will catch up with them here against a Seattle team that manhandled them earlier this season in Philadelphia.
I love Seattle. Russell Wilson played well last week, almost pulled them through. He'll have a great game against that Philly secondary. Marshawn Lynch has a game under his belt and the rookie Travis Homer played well. He's got a lot of speed. The Seahawks are better on the road anyway. The Eagles are so banged up and could be missing the right side of their offensive line. Philly was tied with the Giants entering the fourth quarter, and the GIants' defense is lousy. Carson Wentz didn't play that great. Philly was lucky to be in a terrible division, but this team is just too beat-up right now.
Philadelphia beat the Giants to muscle into the playoffs without its Pro Bowl tight end and its three main wide receivers, plus its primary two running backs and starting right tackle. Afterward, G Brandon Brooks (shoulder) was ruled out for the season. Seattle has been battered by injuries, too, but nowhere to the degree of the Eagles. The Seahawks went 5-0 straight-up in the Eastern time zone, including once in Philly, and will be bent on flushing Sunday’s stunning loss to San Francisco from their system.