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Thu, May 0210:30 pm UTCGainbridge Fieldhouse
Track OnCBS Sports
Milwaukee
Bucks
MIL
Last 5 ATS
W/L51-37
ATS38-50
O/U45-43-0
FINAL SCORE
98
-
120
Indiana
Pacers
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-45
ATS52-44
O/U52-46-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
51-37
Win /Loss
55-45
38-50
Spread
52-44
45-43-0
Over / Under
52-46-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIL @ IND
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIL @ IND
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OVER / UNDER
MIL @ IND
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

32%
PUBLIC
68%
MONEY
33%
PUBLIC
67%
MONEY
Over78%
PUBLIC
Under22%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsMyles Turner Under 32.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -154
WIN
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

I don’t love that this has gone over -150 but there is too much value. He has played like an outlier…..I expect him to come back down. Under

Pick Made: May 02, 10:11 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsBrook Lopez Over 13.5 Total Points -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+40
9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

This should be a solid spot for Brook Lopez, even better with Dame in the lineup. Lopez has eclipsed this line in 3 of 5 games this series, only slightly going under in Game 5 because they sat the fourth quarter. He does well with Dame and gets a ton of three point opportunities with him on the court. Look for heavy minutes and heavy production from Lopez tonight.

Pick Made: May 02, 10:02 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Total Away PointsMilwaukee Over 104.5 Total Pts -120
LOSS
Unit0.5
+250
5-0 in Last 5 NBA Team Props Picks
Erik's Analysis:

Dame is back and the Bucks will try and out score you. I think this game will see a second half uptick…..over 104.5

Pick Made: May 02, 10:00 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsBobby Portis Under 35.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -127
LOSS
Unit1.0
Erik's Analysis:

Dame is in. This number is too high. Grab it now

Pick Made: May 02, 9:33 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineIndiana -227
WIN
Unit1.0
+2001.25
170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
+1841
107-55 in Last 162 NBA ML Picks
+2346
56-20 in Last 76 MIL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Obviously a crazy number but it was -450 and might get back there if the Bucks are simply playing games with the notion that Giannis and Dame Lillard will play. It actually wouldn't shock me if Lillard did, but I can't believe the Greek Freak might risk serious injury that would already end Milwaukee's 2024-25 season. Besides, even if he did play, how remotely close to 100 percent? As a fan? Would love to see a Game 7 with a relatively healthy Bucks team. As a bettor? End it tonight.

Pick Made: May 02, 6:29 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Total Home PointsIndiana Over 111.5 Total Pts -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Bob's Analysis:

Milwaukee’s Giannis and Lillard are listed as game-time decisions. There’s still a good chance both remain out tonight and hope their team can pull the upset to force a game seven at home. However, the Pacers were just held to under 95-points for only the second time this season. This season at home, Indiana has only been held to under 111-points eight times in 43 games. In game one, they scored 94-points then came back in game two with 125-points and will be more motivated to possibly close out the series tonight at home, where they average 125.4-points.

Pick Made: May 02, 2:10 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadIndiana -8 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+1410
25-10 in Last 35 IND ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Doc Rivers is saying there is a chance that both Giannis and Dame Lillard might feature ("very, very, very close") for the Bucks in Game 6 after they stayed alive in Game 5. Worth noting, however, that the Pacers have matched up very well with the Bucks, beating them four of five in the regular season and now leading this series 3-2. Milwaukee has alternately had problems slowing all among Pascal Siakam, Tyrese Haliburton, and Myles Turner. It's also worth noting that Indiana hasn't lost back-to-back spread decisions in almost two months, and entirely within its personality to bounce back tonight and end this series in an emphatic manner. Play Pacers

Pick Made: May 02, 8:13 am UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsBobby Portis Under 36.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -132
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Credit to Bobby Portis who had a big 29 point, 10 rebound performance in Game 5 of this series. Portis shot 14-24 from the field and his previous series high was 17 points. This series is moving back to Indianapolis where Portis has struggled. There is also a small/outside chance that both Giannis and Damian Lillard could suit up as well.

Pick Made: May 02, 5:42 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsMyles Turner Over 31.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -119
LOSS
Unit1.0
+37
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Pacers center Myles Turner has been a substantially better player at home this season, shooting 54.7 percent compared to 50.1 percent on the road. At home he shot better from beyond the arc, better from the foul line and grabbed more rebounds (7.6 to 6.3). The same thing is happening this series, as Turner went for 29 points and nine rebounds in each of Indiana's two home games. With Giannis Antetokounmpo still doubtful, I'm expecting a monster effort from Turner in this potential close-out game.

Pick Made: May 02, 4:55 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 215.5 -110
WIN
Unit2.0
+480
5-2 in Last 7 MIL O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

This has been a decidedly over series dating back to their first regular season meeting, and especially when the Pacers are at home, where they can control the tempo more, feed off the crowd, and where they shoot much better from the outside. Only got off 85 shots in Game 5; I project 105+ attempts in this one and return to Pacers scoring 121+ for game. Bucks still lacking key defensive pieces. They've played 10 times and 8 are 233+. The games in IND: 239, 239, 272, 250.

Pick Made: May 01, 3:49 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks
Thursday, Jan 16, 2025
Avatar
SF
Andre Jackson Jr.
HipQuestionable
Wednesday, Jan 15, 2025
Avatar
SG
Gary Trent Jr.
HipOut
Indiana Pacers
Saturday, Nov 02, 2024
Avatar
C
Isaiah Jackson
AchillesOut
Thursday, Oct 24, 2024
Avatar
C
James Wiseman
AchillesOut
Wednesday, Jan 15, 2025
Avatar
PG
Tyrese Haliburton
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Aaron Nesmith
AnkleQuestionable
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