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UEFA Champions League Expert Picks

1 Expert Pick

May 31 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
Inter
@ PSG
Point SpreadSubscribers Only
Unit1.0
+289
7-5 in Last 12 CHLG Picks
+161.5
5-4 in Last 9 CHLG ATS Picks
+105.5
3-1 in Last 4 INT ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

PSG has never won the Champions League. ...

Pick Made: Fri 10:14 pm UTC on DraftKings

Past Picks

Apr 30 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
Inter
3
@ Barcelona
3
Money LineBarcelona -155
LOSS
Unit1.0
+357.5
5-1 in Last 6 CHLG ML Picks
+48
2-1 in Last 3 INT ML Picks
Brandt's Analysis:

Two teams trending in opposite directions square off when Barcelona host Inter Milan. Barcelona have lost just one of their last 28 matches across all competitions, while Inter Milan are winless in their past four fixtures, suffering three losses during that span. Barca have won five of their six Champions League home matches this season, all of those victories coming by at least two goals. Barcelona’s quest to win the quadruple is very much intact, and I expect the home side to get the job done on Wednesday.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 2:55 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 15 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
PSG
2
@ Aston Villa
3
Money LinePSG +110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+130
3-2 in Last 5 CHLG ML Picks
+100
3-2 in Last 5 PSG ML Picks
Martin's Analysis:

PSG outclassed Aston Villa when the teams met in Paris last week. They will now take a 3-1 aggregate lead into the second leg of this quarterfinal clash. The Parisians can afford to draw this game, or lose by a single goal, and they will still advance to the next round. However, it’s dangerous to simply sit back and soak up pressure, so they should go out and try to beat Aston Villa once again. They look perfectly capable of doing so, as they are well rested and surging with momentum right now.

Pick Made: Apr 14, 4:44 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 09 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
Borussia Dortmund
0
@ Barcelona
4
Over / UnderOver 3.5 +102
WIN
Unit1.0
+170
12-9 in Last 21 CHLG O/U Picks
+85
3-2 in Last 5 BAR O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Under new manager Hansi Flick, Barcelona have become the best attacking side in all of Europe. Their starting XI are overflowing with world-class talent, and their synergy rivals that of some of the legendary Barcelona rosters. There are so many players scoring goals right now, including but not limited to Robert Lewandowski, Lamine Yamal, Ferran Torres and Raphinha. Barcelona have scored 83 goals over their 30 league matches this season and decimated Benfica in the Round of 16. While I do believe Dortmund contribute to the score-sheet, Barcelona could cover this total by themselves if needed.

Pick Made: Apr 08, 3:09 pm UTC on BetRivers
Apr 08 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
Real Madrid
0
@ Arsenal
3
Over / UnderOver 2.5 +125
WIN
Unit1.0
+625
6-0 in Last 6 CHLG O/U Picks
+325
3-0 in Last 3 RMA O/U Picks
Martin's Analysis:

Arsenal will struggle to keep a clean sheet against Real Madrid after defensive lynchpin Gabriel Magalhães was ruled out with a hamstring injury. As such, the Gunners will need to take risks in a bid to outscore their opponents. They cannot afford to lose the first leg of Tuesday's Champions League quarterfinal clash, so they should play with a sense of urgency. Arsenal thumped PSV 9-3 in the last round, so they have enough firepower to cause problems for a Real Madrid team that has conceded in each of its last eight games.

Pick Made: Apr 07, 4:16 pm UTC on Caesars
Apr 08 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
Inter
2
@ Bayern Munich
1
Money LineBayern Munich -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+289
7-5 in Last 12 CHLG Picks
+37.5
3-2 in Last 5 CHLG ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Wish we had Draw No Bet option as I tend to believe that's the worst possible result today for Bayern Munich in the first leg at home of the quarterfinals. Both teams are pretty banged up, but the Bundesliga leaders are old hat in this round, reaching a sixth straight UCL quarterfinal. Bayern has won seven straight at home vs. Serie A sides and won 25 of its past 31 home Champions League games overall with five draws. Their home record this season is W5 D1.

Pick Made: Apr 08, 12:41 pm UTC on BetMGM
Apr 08 2025, 7:00 pm UTC
League
Real Madrid
0
@ Arsenal
3
Over / UnderOver 2.5 +125
WIN
Unit1.0
+170
12-9 in Last 21 CHLG O/U Picks
+190
3-1 in Last 4 RMA O/U Picks
Jon's Analysis:

Normally, betting on goals in a match featuring Arsenal would be questionable at best. The thing we need to focus on this match that will produce goals Is the lack of healthy and fit players, particularly on defense, for either side. Arsenal will be without the services of players such as Takehiro Tomiyasu, Gabriel Magalhaes and Riccardo Calafiori, while Real Madrid are missing Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy and Dani Ceballos. A combination of injuries and poor form should create quite a bit of chaos at Emirates Stadium. I’m expecting both teams to come out swinging with full intention of leading after the first leg, with a plethora of goals along the way.

Pick Made: Apr 07, 7:13 pm UTC on Caesars
Mar 12 2025, 5:45 pm UTC
League
Borussia Dortmund
2
@ Lille
1
Point SpreadLille +0.25 -160
LOSS
Unit0.5
+289
7-5 in Last 12 CHLG Picks
+161.5
5-4 in Last 9 CHLG ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Clubs are tied 1-1 on aggregate entering today's second leg from France -- the only first-leg draw in the Round of 16. Lille has won 10 of its past 12 European matches at home with two draws, including a victory over reigning Champions League winner Real Madrid in October. Dortmund has only three wins in its last 11 trips to France and has lost six of its past 10 Bundesliga matches in a disappointing domestic season.

Pick Made: Mar 12, 1:33 pm UTC on DraftKings
Mar 11 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
PSG
1
@ Liverpool
0
Money LinePSG +195
WIN
Unit1.0
+465
6-3 in Last 9 CHLG ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Watching the first leg, it was hard to believe Liverpool could win 1-0, considering how it was on its heels all night as PSG outshot the Reds by a 27-2 count. Though Arne Slot's men somehow grabbed all three points in Paris, recent form hasn't scintillated, including a labored 3-1 win over EPL bottom-feeder Southampton on the weekend, courtesy two dubious second-half penalties from the Saints that gifted a pair of goals to Mo Salah. If the second leg paces anything like the first a week ago, PSG remains very much in this one, especially if Ousmane Dembele (20 goals since New Year's!) continues to surface in Ballon d'Or conversations. Play PSG on ML

Pick Made: Mar 11, 12:52 am UTC on DraftKings
Mar 11 2025, 5:45 pm UTC
League
Benfica
1
@ Barcelona
3
Point SpreadBarcelona -1.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+300
3-0 in Last 3 CHLG ATS Picks
Brandt's Analysis:

Barcelona have been spectacular in recent weeks, recording a clean sheet in four of their last five matches across all competitions. The home side has also been lethal in the attacking third, scoring eight goals in their last two home fixtures. I expect Barcelona to come out looking to extend their lead early in this match, which would lead to Benfica pressing and creating space behind their defenders for quality players like Robert Lewandowski and Raphina to exploit in the second half.

Pick Made: Mar 09, 8:42 pm UTC on Caesars
Mar 05 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Bayer Leverkusen
0
@ Bayern Munich
3
Point SpreadBayer Leverkusen +0.5 -102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+98
2-1 in Last 3 CHLG ATS Picks
Martin's Analysis:

Bayer Leverkusen are unbeaten in their last six games against Bayern Munich. The teams have already met twice this season. Leverkusen beat Bayern Munich 1-0 on the road in December, and they then held Vincent Kompany’s men to a 0-0 draw at BayArena on February 15. These Leverkusen players have a habit of thwarting Bayern Munich’s expensively assembled attack. They have conceded just one goal in their last four matches against Bayern, which bodes well for their chances of getting a result in Munich this week.

Pick Made: Mar 03, 7:07 pm UTC on BetMGM
Mar 05 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Barcelona
1
@ Benfica
0
Money LineBarcelona -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+465
6-3 in Last 9 CHLG ML Picks
+260
3-2 in Last 5 BAR ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Bruno Lage raging at his Benfica team in the rain after blowing a 4-2 lead is a vision Barca's 5-4 win at Lisboa on January 21 is hard to dismiss. Here's a rematch but suspect Benfica, life-and-death with Monaco to reach this round, looks hard-pressed. Barca has been on fire, unbeaten since the calendar turned to 2025, and was never sharper than in the Sunday battering of Real Sociedad, which was already helpless before it got down to ten men as Hansi Flick's side fired 33 shots...to zero for La Real. Barcelona is scoring goals for fun lately (ten in the past three games in all competitions), with Robert Lewandowski scoring in five of his last six appearances. Play Barca on Money Line

Pick Made: Mar 04, 11:44 pm UTC on FanDuel
Mar 05 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Bayer Leverkusen
0
@ Bayern Munich
3
Point SpreadBayer Leverkusen +0.5 -102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+193
2-1 in Last 3 CHLG Picks
+130
3-2 in Last 5 CHLG ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Here's the next step for Xabi Alonso's Bayer Leverkusen, which has already proven it can win a Bundesliga and more than hold its own vs. Bayern Munich. Now, can Alonso get a result against Bayern in the Champions League? Nothing has separated these sides in a pair of draws this term, including a recent nil-nil at Bay Arena. Keep in mind Leverkusen has lost only four times in ALL competitions since last season, and will feel confident at this Allianz Arena leg with striker Patrik Schick heating up and scoring four goals across the last three matches in which he has started. Meanwhile, Vincent Kompany's Bayern needed a Alphonso Davies stoppage-time strike to escape Celtic in the last round. Play Bayer Leverkusen on Spread

Pick Made: Mar 04, 11:40 pm UTC on BetMGM
Mar 05 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Liverpool
1
@ PSG
0
Over / UnderOver 3.5 +128
LOSS
Unit1.0
+193
2-1 in Last 3 CHLG Picks
+117
2-1 in Last 3 CHLG O/U Picks
+128
2-1 in Last 3 PSG O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Hang on for the ride as many in Europe are giving Luis Enrique's PSG a chance in this matchup. And why not; unbeaten in 20, winners in 18, and an aggregate 10-0 demolition of Ligue Un rival Brest in the last round to reach the final sixteen. And who needs Kylian Mbappe when Ousmane Dembele has been the hottest striker in Europe (though Mo Salah might argue) the past two-plus months, with 13 goals in his last eight outings? We would rather not pick a spot where Liverpool might lose, as excluding domestic cup competitions, however, and rather look over with the Reds now eleven straight matches scoring 2 or more goals, and Mo Salah himself on 29 in all competitions Play PSG-Liverpool Over

Pick Made: Mar 04, 11:49 pm UTC on BetRivers
Mar 05 2025, 8:00 pm UTC
League
Barcelona
1
@ Benfica
0
Money LineBarcelona -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+357.5
5-1 in Last 6 CHLG ML Picks
+100
2-1 in Last 3 BEN ML Picks
Brandt's Analysis:

Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 15 matches across all competitions, which includes a thrilling 5-4 victory on the road against Benfica on Jan. 21. Barcelona enters Wednesday’s match having scored eight goals over their last two games and they’ve kept a clean sheet in five of their past seven fixtures overall. Hansi Flick’s men will take on a Benfica side capable of causing frustration, but I think the Spanish giants have too much quality for the home side to contend with. Look for Barcelona to make a statement with a win over Benfica in the first leg.

Pick Made: Mar 05, 3:11 pm UTC on FanDuel
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