This is a delicious revenge spot for Geno Smith, who will be more motivated than anyone else in New York. The Seahawks defense has been beasting of late, while the Jets are a true unknown week to week. What is known? Betting against Aaron Rodgers has been immensely valuable all season, and it was super predictable even before the campaign began. New York does have a solid pass defense, though it doesn’t pick off the ball, and Smith is the NFL leader in completions and yards passing per game. Expecting a comfortable win for the Seahawks despite the road spot. Give me the 1.5 points and a teaser leg with Seattle.

Where I give the Seahawks the advantage in this game vs the Jets is on the offensive side of the ball. There's a lot more trust in the Seahawks passing game than their is in the Jets one, and in a potential aerial attack, I have to side with Geno and the Hawks.

A contrarian Sunday NFL play offers the Jets...but we're not going to bite. In fact, at the moment, we don't want to touch the J-Men with a ten-foot pole. The dismissal of GM Joe Douglas earlier this week was merely the latest distraction after HC Robert Saleh's pink-slip in early October. The Aaron Rodgers experiment also now looks ready to blow up on the Jets, with just one win and cover across the past eight games. Meanwhile the Seahawks have rallied as Mike Macdonald's defensive schemes begin to resonate. Note that Seattle allowed only 23 combined points in recent wins vs. the Niners and Card, and.a return to MetLife vs. his old team should also get Geno Smith properly focused. Play Seahawks on ML

The 6-5 Seahawks have won two in a row and have themselves on pace for a playoff spot. The 3-8 Jets have lost their last two games and seven of their last eight, against the spread too. It's not the season the Jets were expecting but they've had the week off to think about things with the idea of finishing strong. They're professionals. The offense has been lousy but the defense has been strong all season allowing only 305 yards on defense which ranks eighth. The key here will be the Seahawks -6 turnover margin with an offense that's turned the ball over 17 times. Jets with the week off come back with the win.

Seattle has already won twice on the East Cost this season. Geno Smith struggles at home but is great in 1pm kickoffs (102.2 rating in last 8 stats, 270 yards/G, 12 TDs - 3 INTs. He's 5-3 in those games. It took Ravens D half a season to adjust to Mike Macdonald's scheme and same with Seattle, but they are adjusting now. Jets have lost 6 of their last 7 off a bye. Jets can't score all season and their defense is sagging badly. Hawks 4-2 in last 6 vs AFC; 13-6-3 ATS in 1pm kicks since 2018. Seattle has been refreshed out of its bye and can win a lower scoring game. Geno has gotten his revenge on Jets/Giants since leaving; 4-1 vs them

Aaron Rodgers, who turns 41 next week, should be spry coming off the bye. But he needs a strong running game at this point and Seattle is shutting down ground attacks, allowing 3.8 yards per carry over the past three games. The defense got healthier and defensive mastermind Mike McDonald made key adjustments over the bye. Trade acquisition Ernest Jones IV has made 47 tackles in his four games with Seattle. Look for the surging Seahawks to improve to 4-1 on the road.

A tale of two cultures as the Seahawks have new life and the Jets are seemingly waiting for a disaster season to end. The Jets enjoy the luxury of coming off a bye and getting to host a west coast team for a 1:00 EST start, but that's not enough to overcome their play on the field. The Jets defense hasn't been what it should be and the offense can't get on track. Seattle has been very good since coming off their bye and Mike Macdonald has them firmly in the playoff mix. Expect the better team with the better motivation to come out and get a much needed win.