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Candidly, I did not expect this line to jump two points, but it has come back down a bit at -6, and my line was -7.5, so there’s still value here with the Rams. With Kyren Williams back rolling, he should get whatever he wants against a porous Giants run defense. Tyrod Taylor does concern me a bit as a clear upgrade over Tommy DeVito, particularly in the fourth quarter. New York allows sacks but doesn’t make them. It blitzes but doesn’t get home, which should give Matthew Stafford clean passing lanes. As long as Los Angeles takes care of the ball, it should be able to score enough to put this out of reach. If you can get Rams -5.5 (-115), even better.
The Giants obviously haven't quit this season, and continue to battle even as the playoff dream was extinguished. It is apparent that Tyrod Taylor gives the G-Men a better chance than Tommy DeVito at QB, and Brian Daboll has wisely made the switch after Taylor nearly led the second-half rally at Philly on Monday. Remember, with Taylor, the G-Men were a few yards from beating Buffalo back in early October, and covered against Eagles. Moreover, they're now 3-0-1 vs. the spread their last four at Met Life. Not sure the Rams are going to be able to extend a margin on the road if the Giants come ready to battle as they did on Monday. Play Giants
Rams QB Matthew Stafford has sipped from the fountain of youth -- and is filling the cups of aging teammates while sharing with them. They have scored at a 28-point clip five games in a row, which largely explains the 5-0 ATS streak. Over the last six outings, the offense ranks second for yards gained. The Giants' pass rush, perhaps the worst in the league during the schedule's second half, makes it easy on Stafford and his old legs. The schedule-maker has dealt L.A. another advantage, as if it needs one. The Rams last played on a Thursday, the Giants four days later on a Monday. Extra rest is help, especially to 35-year-old QBs.
The Tommy DeVito experience is over in New York, and they'll put a much better QB under center this week in Tyrod Taylor. Yet the line is back where it was on the lookahead number at Giants +6, which I don't understand. The Rams are certainly the better team, but they're traveling cross country in a sleepy spot against a team they should beat with a massive game against the 49ers next week. I believe Taylor and Brian Daboll can do enough against this Rams defense that this will be a closer game than expected. I'd make this line Rams -4.
Road chalk was largely kind to us last week (although the Packers not covering was annoying and the Jets not covering was flat out ridiculous) so let's dabble a little bit this week. Tyrod Taylor in the starting lineup is a little unnerving -- we would vastly prefer to fade Tommy DeVito here -- but the Rams are just cooking with gas right now. They could easily be on a six-game winning streak right now if not for a tough overtime loss on the road to the Ravens. Sean McVay is pulling all the right levers and Matthew Stafford is playing at an MVP level, with Cooper Kupp looking 100 percent and Puka Nakua continuing to make a late-season push for OROY honors.
Rams are an elite rushing team since their bye week, and it won't stop here against a team that is 31st in yards allowed/carry (4.7). Not sure it takes 20+ carries to get there, and others are getting into the mix a little more these days. NYG let Swift go over 100 for the first time in forever last week and Williams has gone over 100 in 5 of the last 6 games.
The Eagles passing offense was spiraling until last week, when Hurts went for 300. The Giants haven't faced many top QBs, but when they do it can get ugly and it will here. Forecast looks good, Rams OL is top notch and Stafford will take plenty of deep shots. He's at 258 in 4 straight, Giants are 20th in yards/pass attempt and this game should stay close enough and high-scoring enough for Sean McVay to dial up pass plays all 4 quarters.
Stafford is a top 5 QB in this league right now, maybe even top 3. The deep ball is a weapon, even on the road, and even against defenses far better than this one. He's hit this in 4 of the last 5 games, since this offense got healthy and started rolling. Giants secondary is a mess, they've allowed 9 passes of this length this season, and Rams have 3 explosive receivers going right now.
Tyrod Taylor is a definite upgrade at quarterback, but I still like the Rams by a touchdown. They've scored 28-plus in five straight games and Kyren Williams should have plenty of success versus a New York defense allowing 4.7 yards per carry (31st). The Rams had extra rest after playing Thursday in Week 16, while the Giants are coming off a physical Monday night division matchup in Philly.
Rams are one of the hottest teams in the NFC right now and with the way they play offense, it puts opposing defenses in a bind. Giants offense still doesn't give me confidence they'll be able to keep up the pace for two weeks in a row.
The Rams are rolling up 30 a game the last 5 weeks and will do more of that against this terrible defense. Their RZ issues give me slight pause but they are on extra rest and have traveled well to the East Coast under McVay. Stafford will carve them up deep. And the Giants now have a downfield passing game with Tyrod Taylor in for Cutlets. Rams last 5 game totals: 51, 55, 68, 48, 52. I see shootout potential here
The Rams are for real and we keep riding them here. This is not some dome, West Coast, finesse team. Rams went to Baltimore for an early start in the rain against that defense and carved them up from the first drive through the end of regulation. They can run it on anyone and will keep running it. Too many in-form receivers to cover and the D will take away Barkley. Rams on extra rest, didn't have to play or practice on Xmas Eve or XMas Day. McVay will have them ready to play. Stafford is a top 5 QB right now. Rams are top 3 rushing team since their bye; Giants 2nd worst allowing 4.7/carry this season. Rams physical OL will grind them down.