At even odds for -3, this is inching closer to -2.5 for the Bears, so wait until kickoff if you can and see if you get it. The Bears are the play here simply because -- despite being injured on both sides of the ball -- they are better in most phases. Andy Dalton, while less exciting than Justin Fields, is an upgrade as a downfield thrower in 2021. David Montgomery should find plenty of success on the ground. Chicago's defense should not have much of a problem with Jared Goff. Try as I might, I can't find enough reasons to value the Lions, and this being their "best chance" to win -- it is indeed that, don't get me wrong -- plus the game being on Thanksgiving doesn't mean much to me.

Even at this juncture of his career, Andy Dalton is a much better quarterback than Jared Goff. That's not what you want to hear if you're a Lions fan, as Goff will be tied to this offense for at least one more season. This game will be close because of the quick turnaround nature. But with Goff returning from an oblique injury, who knows how effective he'll be against an aggressive Bears defense.

Please, please let the reports be true and that this is Matt Nagy's final game as Bears coach. Supposedly, the decision has been made and he will be fired win or lose after this game -- probably Friday as even the Bears aren't opaque enough to do it on Thanksgiving. The team has never fired a coach in season. No Justin Fields, Khalil Mack, Akiem Hicks or Allen Robinson for Chicago. Apparently, Jared Goff will be able to start for Detroit. I honestly think the Lions win this game but won't turn down 3 points.

The Bears will be starting backup QB Andy Dalton, as starter Justin Fields is out with rib issues. DL Akeem Hicks is out, and star WR Allen Robinson is doubtful. Jared Goff is expected to return at QB for Detroit after he missed last week’s 13-10 loss at Cleveland. The Lions haven’t won a game, but they’re 6-4 ATS this season. The Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Lions, including an Oct. 3 meeting the Bears won 24-14 at home. This bet is against Dalton. The Lions likely win, but I took the points.

Jared Goff is trending towards playing. He has been good versus the Bears in his last two matchups, including this season with Detroit. In Week 4, he went 24 of 38 for 299 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions. Justin Fields, Akiem Hicks and Allen Robinson aren't likely to play for Chicago. Without Hicks, Detroit should keep running the ball effectively like it has the past two games. It's always hard to judge motivation, but you know the Lions will be all-in -- this is their best chance to win a game. Bears players seem to want Matt Nagy fired.

The Bears did a great job of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory last week, following up a big play on a broken coverage that gave them the lead by falling apart defensively against Ravens No. 2 QB Tyler Huntley. They'll likely face another backup this week, whether it's Tim Boyle or David Blough, and a Lions offense that's managed to scrape together 77 net yards of passing offense in back-to-back games. Even with several key Bears defenders hurt, that's not going to cut it. Andy Dalton is a capable enough quarterback to get this unit to 20 points by feeding David Montgomery and protecting the ball, and with the Lions QB situation I just don't know they can even do that on offense.