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One would think that the Saints' magic without Drew Brees will come to an end sooner than later, but I don't think it will be this week. Even with Alvin Kamara sidelined, New Orleans is far better offensively than Chicago with a defense that can match the Bears. I was skeptical about taking the Saints at a field goal, but with another 1.5 points of value, it's tough not to lean New Orleans in a big road game. I may even sprinkle a bit for the Saints straight up because I just don't think a rested Mitchell Trubisky is that much of a difference maker.
Although the Saints won't have Alvin Kamara, there's serious value on a team that's playing terrific defense and getting efficient quarterback play. The Saints have covered 22 of their last 30 road games under Sean Payton, not to mention going 7-0 ATS in their last seven Week 7 games. Grab the points.
Sure, I don't love that the Saints will be without Alvin Kamara in this game, but I think the line is so far off I'm still going to play them because his presence is irrelevant to the No. 1 factor in this game: the Bears offense is bad. Mitchell Trubisky looks like he'll return, but I can't see him lighting up a Saints defense that has shut down three straight opponents (less than 260 total yards allowed in each game) when he's leading an offense that hasn't reached 300 total yards this year. Teddy Bridgewater hasn't made any mistakes while doing enough to keep winning games, and I like him to do it again.
The Saints have won and covered the last four meetings, and I think they get it done here as well. Backup QB Teddy Bridgewater has been amazing and does enough to get the win. Short passes, conservative, few mistakes and he’s won all four of his starts. The Bears come off a bye after being embarrassed in London by the Raiders. It doesn’t matter who plays QB for Bears, the offense will struggle. Back the Saints to cover.
The first team to score might win this. If Chicago goes back to Mitchell Trubisky, New Orleans will pick him off a couple times. The Saints' defense is terrific and their best offensive player is hurt. Go Under.
The Chicago Bears are coming off of a bye week and a loss to Oakland two weeks ago in London. So, needless to say, they are desperate for a win. What's been great about the Saints' four-game winning streak has been their defense. New Orleans does a great job of making an offense one-dimensional. That will happen again against Chicago. Take the points.