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Expert Picks
This game is deserving of the pick 'em moniker, because it could go legitimately go either way. The Seahawks have been better on the road this season than in past years, but the Browns struggle so much along the offensive line that I'm not sure the quieter home crowd alone will rectify their issues. There's clearly talent on Cleveland, but Seattle is better coached with a better quarterback and plenty of receiving weapons of its own. I see a repeat of the Rams and Steelers games with the Seahawks winning close late in the fourth quarter.
The line before Monday night was Cleveland -2.5. The Browns offensive line will be far better at home where they can hear the snap count. Seattle, meanwhile, comes in fat and happy after beating the Rams. Look for the Browns to get back to Nick Chubb, who's averaging 5.2 yards per carry, on Sunday.
This is a great spot for the Browns, with no one believing in them after a Monday night stinker. They'll be desperate for a win here heading into the bye, and I think they can get it against a Seahawks team that has three incredibly close wins on the season. At just 25th in adjusted sack rate, Seattle isn't quite as dangerous for the Browns' mediocre O-line, and we saw the offense explode in a similar matchup against the Ravens defense. With multiple starters on Seattle's O-line doubtful, this could also be a big day for the Cleveland defensive front.
Russell Wilson has thrown 12 TDs and no interceptions. The Seahawks have a big edge at quarterback, especially with Baker Mayfield not getting any protection. Pete Carroll is doing a great job with that defense. The coaching edge lies with Seattle. And Wilson will deliver in the clutch.
The Cleveland offense has been a catastrophe week after week. There's too much uncertainty about what you're going to get from the passing game, in the blocking department ... it is just not consistent. The one consistent aspect of the offense, which goes criminally underutilized, is the ground game. Expect the Seahawks to exploit that ineffectiveness and roll in this game.
The Browns haven’t had success at home this season, but they have responded well after being roasted two other times this season. I think Monday night’s 31-3 loss at San Francisco qualifies as a roasting. Baker Mayfield plays solely on emotion, and he gets going fast or goes downhill faster. But he does bounce back well, and Seattle’s defense is a long way from the Legion of Doom, allowing 23 points per game. The Browns will help get this game over.
The Seahawks benefit from a substantial rest advantage. They last played on Thursday, while Cleveland is catching its breath from a Monday nighter three time zones from home. Add to this Seattle’s road excellence, as indicated by a recent 7-1 ATS mark, along with Cleveland’s virtual no-show in the wipeout to San Francisco. The Browns were absurdly overhyped in the offseason, and the bandwagon, though lightened somewhat, remains overcrowded.