8 Expert Picks
The Nets announced over the weekend that Cam Thomas (hamstring) will miss the remainder of the season...
When does a market reaction become an overreaction? ...
Will Steph Curry play for the Warriors? ...
The Clippers are suddenly at full strength.
The Cleveland Cavaliers had their sixteen game winning streak snapped Sunday by the Orlando Magic. …
Make sure you factor the three ball into this equation ...
Bounce back price is right for me ...
Norman Powell scored just seven points against the Hornets on Sunday in his return from a hamstring injury...
Past Picks
Spurs are broken. They are allowing 128.2/G over the last 10 games, with teams shooting 40% from three and 52% from the floor. They are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 on road, failing to cover 9 of those games by multiple possessions. Lakers have covered 6 straight at home and have thrived in back-to-back (6-3 ATS) and 26-15-1 ATS vs the West. Lakers are 8-4 ATS with a rest disadvantage. They just sat a bunch of guys two games ago so I'm banking on a decent cast here and when they have had to play without Luka and LBJ they always meet the challenge. Defensive juggernaut might not give up 90 here.
FanDuel. So yesterday’s bet on Austin Reaves’ rebounds didn’t go as planned, but he did have 15 rebound chances (despite only grabbing 4). At a season long conversion % of 53.6%, it’s safe to say that we were served a bad beat. Nevertheless, I’m back on Reaves tonight on a higher line (5.5) in an even better matchup. The Spurs have allowed the fifth most rebounds to their opponents since the all-star break. Reaves is still over this line in 6/7 without LeBron James this season (and 2/3 with Luka Doncic in that subset).
Deni Avdija has been playing excellent basketball as of late but this is simply a massive line for the versatile forward. Even in a great matchup against a Wizards team that is terrible, a lot will have to go right for Avdija to eclipse this line including a shot usage distribution that is heavily in his favor. In most outcomes Deni stays under this line as I would fade him at this high of a number versus any opponent.
Golden State is beginning to look more and more like the Dallas Mavericks of a season ago. Who after their splash trades ended the regular season red hot and carried it over to representing the West in the NBA Finals. Golden State has won 12 of 13 games, and Denver has dropped three of five. The Nuggets also continue to have question marks around their lineup on a nightly basis. Lay it here with the Warriors.
The Kings would be wise to play long game with Sabonis here, who barely got through a half of hoops before tweaking his hamstring again. They have lost 3 in row by: 29, 26, 17 points. They've lost 5 of 6 and their defense has been putrid (122, 130, 133 allowed). Grizz are finally rolling again, scoring 120+ in 4 straight and 8 of 12. Averaging 122.3/G over that span. Neither team great covering very recently but I'm buying the Grizz against struggling teams these days.
Ja Morant is out, so Desmond Bane's usage should spike again versus Sacramento. It's a dream matchup, too, as the Kings rank 19th in defensive rating and allow an NBA-high 38.3 percent on 3-pointers. We have a game total of 237 with a fast pace expected. Look for Bane to play around 35 minutes and clear this prop total.
With starters RJ Barrett, Gradey Dick and Jakob Poeltl out for the Dinos in the second of a back-to-back, Immanuel Quickley should be a busy man tonight because he was rested on Sunday. And he has topped this number in three straight regardless. Since the All-Star break (10 games), Quickley has averaged 20.5 points, 5.3 assists and 4.8 rebounds.