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Mon, Apr 2111:30 pm UTCMadison Square Garden
Track OnCBS Sports
Detroit
Pistons
DET
Last 5 ATS
W/L46-42
ATS44-42
O/U43-38-3
FINAL SCORE
100
-
94
New York
Knicks
NY
Last 5 ATS
W/L57-34
ATS45-44
O/U43-42-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
46-42
Win /Loss
57-34
44-42
Spread
45-44
43-38-3
Over / Under
43-42-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
DET @ NY
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
DET @ NY
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OVER / UNDER
DET @ NY
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37%
PUBLIC
63%
MONEY
15%
PUBLIC
85%
MONEY
Over95%
PUBLIC
Under5%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsJosh Hart Over 11.5 Total Points -133
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1284
50-30 in Last 80 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Josh Hart played just 30 minutes in Game 1 after getting into early trouble. He went scoreless in his foul-plagued first half before erupting for 13 points after halftime and finishing with a plus-20 margin. This number has dipped to 11.5 at MGM, but I would still play half a unit Over 12.5 at a cheap price. Hart should play more minutes Monday -- he played monster minutes in last year's postseason -- and he will have space to operate. Detroit is using rim defender Jalen Duren on him as the Pistons can't afford to leave any other Knick open on the perimeter.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 10:37 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total PointsOG Anunoby Over 16.5 Total Points -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3254
160-109 in Last 269 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

OG Anunoby took his game to another level when Jalen Brunson missed time at the end of the regular season because of injury. At one point, he had a 15-game stretch in which he averaged 24.6 points. In Game 1 against the Pistons, Anunoby still scored 23 points, despite Brunson scoring 34 points. One of the keys was that Anunoby played 44 minutes. During the regular season, Anunoby averaged 18.6 points and shot 51.3% from the field at home. With him possibly pushing to play 40 minutes again, I think he hits this over.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 4:05 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total PointsMikal Bridges Over 14.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+480
9-4 in Last 13 NBA Player Props Picks
Stephen's Analysis:

We project Mikal Bridges for 18.2 points and are getting buy low value on his 8 points (just 9 FGAs in 29 min) in Game 1. He was significantly outplayed by the duo of Malik Beasley and Tobias Harris but I see Bridges responding well in Game 2. The last time he scored 8 points (at CLE on April 2) he bounced back with 20 the next game. Back on March 6 he only put up 6 vs. the Lakers and he responded with 22 the next day vs. the Clippers. For the season, he averaged +3.3 more at home (19.3) vs the road and scored 16+ points in 28 of 42 home games (66.7%) and was 13-4 down the stretch of the regular season.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 2:47 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsAusar Thompson Over 15.5 Total Points + Rebounds -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+112
3-1 in Last 4 NBA Player Props Picks
Jake's Analysis:

Ausar Thompson recorded 16 points + rebounds in Game 1 and his athleticism is one of the advantages that Detroit has this series. He’s cashed this line in 9 of his last 12 games (9-3), and he has notably better splits on the road, hitting this number 53% of the time compared to just 44% at home. We have him projected for 17 points + rebounds tonight.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 2:25 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total PointsMikal Bridges Over 14.5 Total Points -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+1178
16-4 in Last 20 NBA Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

Mikal Bridges is one to bounce back. He had just 8 points on 9 FG attempts in 29 minutes. The last time he scored 8 points (at CLE on April 2) he bounced back with 20 the next game. We should take advantage of this lower line while we can, as he does average +3.3 at home (19.3) than on the road. The Sportsline Model has him projected for 18 points.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 12:34 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadDetroit +6.5 -106
WIN
Unit1.0
+2061
123-93-1 in Last 217 NBA Picks
+1192
55-39 in Last 94 NBA ATS Picks
+1116
32-19 in Last 51 NY ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Here we go as the venerable NBA Playoffs zig-zag gets its first test this postseason at MSG tonight. The Pistons are the carrier, after having the Knicks on the slab into the first few minutes of the 4th Q on Saturday before everything went pear-shaped in a 21-0 NY blitz, with oddities such as a five-second inbounds call in backcourt and a blown dunk by Ausar Thompson. Until then, Detroit looked well on its way to a minor upset and third straight win over the Knicks this season. The Pistons did some good things, including nearly 47% accuracy from deep, and 25 points from Tobias Harris. A similar effort, save the barren stretch in the 4th Q, gives Detroit a chance. Play Pistons

Pick Made: Apr 21, 7:36 am UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total PointsJalen Brunson Over 27.5 Total Points -115
WIN
Unit1.0
+94
2-1 in Last 3 NBA Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Jaylen Brunson is a scoring machine and worked through some of the kinks in Game 1 after missing so much time late in the regular season. The Pistons struggle to defend him in general and especially now with KAT in peak form inside. Brunson averages 28/G vs them this year shooting 42% from 3 and 51% from the field. Detroit's youth shows on D. Brunson loves the playoffs going over this in 9 of last 12 postseason games (averaging 34/G in that span). Tibs will ride his starters hard and the Pistons should keep this close enough. The last 6 playoff games at The Garden Brunson has scored 34, 17 (basically injured), 44, 29, 43, 40.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 2:07 am UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderOver 221.5 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1730
45-25 in Last 70 NBA O/U Picks
+88
2-1 in Last 3 NY O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Game 1 went as expected. Figured the Pistons would fill it up early as they have vs NYK, but youth and inexperience would show late at The Garde and Jalen Brunson and KAT would take over a game played in the 230s. Playoffs are different and Pistons D is a problem; have now allowed 119+ in 6 of last 9 games. I doubt the Pistons have the extreme scoring slump again in this one and I don't foresee another 21-0 NYK run. I don't expect the Knicks to hold down Cade Cunningham for a second straight game, getting some of the playoff debut nerves and jitters out of the way. Last 12 meetings (including playoffs) have produced 221+ points.

Pick Made: Apr 20, 2:33 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Detroit Pistons
Friday, May 02, 2025
Avatar
PF
Isaiah Stewart
KneeOut
Avatar
SG
Jaden Ivey
Lower LegOut
New York Knicks
No Player Injuries
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