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Indiana nearly pulled out Game 3 without Tyrese Haliburton, but that sapped their reserves. They'll fight, but Boston pulls away in this one.
Everyone is banking on the team down 3-0 to come out desperate but I think it'll be the reverse, with Boston ready to end this thing. Fast start for the Celtics, Indiana makes a run, Celtics reestablish cushion going into half.
McConnell has been playing like a borderline All-Star, and that's just not going to continue. I'm betting on Indiana's shooting cooling off some, which hurts the assists, which we'll put somewhere around 5-6. I think McConnell goes for fewer than 15 points.
Jayson Tatum averaged 36 minutes per game during the regular season. During the playoffs, he has averaged 40 minutes. That has helped him haul in at least 10 rebounds in 10 of 13 games. That included him reaching 10 rebounds in two of three games versus the Pacers. During the regular season, he registered at least 10 rebounds in three of the four games that he faced them. There is some blowout risk with Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) likely out again, but the Pacers put up a good fight in Game 3, so I think Tatum is forced to log heavy minutes again Monday. That gives him a great opportunity to record double-digit rebounds.
Maybe IND has just given up, but if you think they show up at all, at home, where they are 6-1 in playoffs, then this total seems low. Since losing to BOS on 1/6, Pacers have 29 home games, including playoffs. They average 122 points in those games, they have covered this number in all but 1 of them and they have 111+ in 25 of them. They have scored at least 111 in every home playoff game, and BOS can't stop them from the floor this series, shooting over 52% and Haliburton could provide a boost, too. No reason for the Pacers not to play loosey-goosey and extreme run-and-gun down 3-0.
It might be time to consult with Johnny Damon, Big Papi, or anyone else from the 2004 Red Sox about how to come back from an 0-3 deficit in the playoffs. There's nobody for the Pacers to seek about how to do it in the NBA because it's never been accomplished in the league. Several teams, however, have avoided getting swept by winning Game 4, and Indiana could easily be sitting with a 2-1 lead into tonight. Even minus Tyrese Haliburton (who might again miss tonight) on Saturday, the Pacers looked like they were about to win into the final minute, with Andrew Nembhard assuming go-to scoring duties and finishing with 32 points. Indy can definitely keep it close! Play Pacers
I don't want to say Boston is getting lucky this postseason with injuries to its opponents' best players but man it sure seems like everything is lining up for the Celtics. Definitely may have won it all anyways but yeah they should now without question. That said. Easy letdown spot. They know Tyrese Haliburton (likely) isn't coming back and can simply finish this off at home in Game 5 if need be. I'm fairly confident they do complete the sweep Monday but this is too high.
The most recent update on Kristaps Porzingis was that he could return for Game 4. Even if the Celtics are careful and hold him out since they're up 3-0, this is a big number for Al Hoford. Big Al has been playing big minutes and even if he does draw the start, this line is greater than his median average as a starter in the playoffs. Go Under.
Andrew Nembhard stepped up in the absence of Tyrese Haliburton but this is a large points line for the 2nd year player. Nembhard has enjoyed a very solid postseason averaging 14.3 PPG and he has failed to eclipse this scoring line in 13/16 playoff games. These teams are becoming very familiar with one another and the projected total has subsequently dropped as a result.
This number is a little higher than projected total off the game number, but it should be. The Celtics have had a higher scoring 1st half in 11 of 13 playoff games, and Pacers in 11 of 16. IND games averaging 117 in first half. IND games avg 120 in 1st half in 2nd round and this series averaging 121. BOS started fast in both prior elimination games, and expect Pacers to come out sprinting again. IND has a true shooting % of 66.6 in 1st half in this series and BOS at 59.2%. They are averaging almost 150 possesions/1st half in this series. Could be a blowout late, or IND fading (they've played a lot more games than BOS), so staying with 1st half
I'm actually surprised to even see a line up for Horford considering there is a possibility that Kristaps Porzingis suits up for this game. Maybe because Boston is up 3-0 they don't rush Porzingis back, but in the event he suits up, this number is way too high for him. In the event Al is the starter, this is also a high number as he's failed to eclispe this combo line in 10/13 playoff games. Al has also been logging heavy minutes.