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Minnesota is underrated on the road. Ant should be huge, and I think they win outright. Dallas due to come back to earth.
With the Timberwolves being down two games to nothing, a lot of the blame is being put on the shoulders of Anthony Edwards and Karl Anthony Towns. They may get going in game three, but also look for Rudy Gobert to continue to be consistent. He has had six free throw attempts in both games and is going to continue to get effective paint touches. Look for Gobert to go over his points prop and not be effected by the game two ending.
Dereck Lively continues to see an increase in minutes. He’s averaging 26 minutes over the last five games, going over 17 points and rebounds in four out of five games and seven of the last 10 playoff games. He’s gone over this number in three out of four games against Minnesota this season.
Daniel Gafford continues to show his value as the starter. However, he’s still only averaging 22 minutes over the last 10 games. Gafford has had 15 points and rebounds, or more, in eight of the last nine games. He’s also gone over this mark in three of the last four home playoff games. He and Lively have shown they should be in the conversation for one of the top front courts moving forward.
Maybe the T-wolves have the Mavs right where they want 'em...at Dallas. Down 0-2, the Wolves have played more relaxed and better on the road in this postseason, winning five of their first six away in the playoffs. Now, it will help for Anthony Edwards to shake his mini-slump (17 for 57 from the floor across the past three games...for Ant, that's a slump), and Minny might not be served best if relying upon Jaden McDaniels and Naz Reid as the leading scorers, which was the case in the first two games. (A KAT resurfacing would come in handy, too.) But Dallas has walked a thin line, and not sure it can keep counting upon Kyrie & Luca magic in the last minute. Play T-wolves
Mavs rookie Dereck Lively has cleared this prop total in four straight, and he's grabbed 20 rebounds in this series despite coming off the bench. His minutes are secure, as he played 27 in each of the first two games. Starter Daniel Gafford has played 21 or fewer minutes in three straight. Lively has been more effective so his minutes won't drop. Look for Lively to record at least nine combined rebounds and assists in Game 3.
Anthony Edwards has shot 17-57 over his last 3 games and while failing to eclipse 21 points. The good news is the usage is off the charts and he's not going to stop shooting. Edwards is too talented to keep under performing and despite this terrible stretch he is still shooting a highly respectable 48% in the postseason. I love his chances of bouncing back tonight and also will be looking at some alt lines because I expect a 30+ point performance. Great buy low.
We are riding this wave again. Dallas starts slow, has lost the first half both games, and isn't great at home. Wolves are 5-1 on road in playoffs, were at their best at Denver and will be super motivated early down 2-0. Their inexperience shows late but they win early and ANT has been better on road. Dallas at home in first half in playoffs by game: -16, +11, -1, 0, -17, +13. Different level of desperation here for MIN. Mavs seem content to hang around and pounce late. I think Wolves win this game and prefer the first-half vibes given their recent foibles in 4th quarter.