Let me be crystal clear: I am not aboard the Broncos hype train. Too much love is being thrown Denver’s way given it enters with a brand new team from ownership to coaching to the starting quarterback. But that position is the most important, and there’s no question the Broncos have a significant advantage there with Russell Wilson. Meanwhile, Geno Smith, who did not inspire any optimism last season, is 1-4 in games in which he’s thrown 10+ passes since 2017. (The win was against the terrible Jaguars. His covers last season were against teams almost equally as bad.) None of this is mentioning the Denver defense, which may be the best of all four units on the field.

I'm kinda with Larry here. Now that it's 7, gotta take the home side. Tempted to wait and see if we get 7.5 but I doubt it (only -125 at DK so probably worth it). Hey, maybe a blocked PAT will go my way this time. Had nightmares about those.

I like the Broncos to win 10-plus games and make the playoffs, but with this line hitting 7 (-120) at Caesars, I have to take the points. Geno Smith is often derided but one thing he does well is protect the ball. In three starts last season, the Seahawks went 3-0 ATS as Smith threw four TDs without an interception. This preseason, Smith had zero turnover-worthy plays on 45 snaps, per PFF. Smith has solid playmakers around him in DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Noah Fant and Rashad Penny. Russell Wilson and most Broncos starters did not take a snap in the preseason Look for a slow start against the Seahawks' amped-up defense -- and a close Denver win.

Russell Wilson is making his return to Seattle after being traded to the Broncos this offseason. The Seahawks are projected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season. They are below average on both sides of the ball and without the magic of Russell Wilson, it will be hard for the Seahawks to keep this game close. The new and improved Broncos should be able to come into Seattle and easily dominate this game. Lay the points.

Seattle coach Pete Carroll knows a little something about the opposing QB. After all, Russell Wilson played a decade for him. The Seahawks, ranked 12th a year ago for points allowed, will cook up a strategy to keep the Broncos, who were 23rd for scoring, in tow. As for the offense contributing to an Under, QB Geno Smith takes over-- a considerable drop-off from Wilson. Forever a proponent of the ground game, Carroll will stick with his roots and keep the clock spinning.

We're going to lock this in before it reaches the inevitable key number of -7 before kickoff. Would love to make a case for the home underdog in a spot where the public will likely pound the favorite, but it would have to be double digits to provide value. Not only does Seattle have the worst quarterback depth chart in the NFL, its defense looks susceptible too. The Seahawks will play hard but it will take some breaks to cover this number as Russell Wilson and friends should notch a comfortable win in his return to Seattle.