This line has gotten a bit steep, but the Chiefs are the far better and more talented team in both phases. Coupling that with additional rest and homefield, suddenly it becomes reasonable. It now appears as if Kansas City will be able to lock up a division title with a win as it continues to try and earn the No. 1 seed in the AFC. No Travis Kelce is absolutely a factor working against the Chiefs, but it's really the only one. KC has enough weapons on both sides to combat a Pittsburgh team that has not defeated an opponent of this caliber this season. The Chiefs defense is why I feel comfortable going to double digits here.

This has dropped to Chiefs -10 at many books so we'll grab it now -- the loss of Travis Kelce (protocols) can't be overstated for Kansas City. I still expect Patrick Mahomes & Co. to win but not by more than 10.

In Mike Tomlin, we trust. As underdogs, the Steelers are 17-6-1 since 2018 with Tomlin as coach. Rarely are they spotted double-digit points. The defense is near full strength to combat Patrick Mahomes, who will miss peerless TE Travis Kelce (COVID-19). Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger welcomes this opponent, against which he stands 7-2 straight-up. The Steelers have won two of their last three SU, and they deserve props for the defeat as they made an epic comeback attempt that fell just short.

The Chiefs have reportedly had no new COVID cases for a second straight day, so they may be done losing key pieces heading into this game, which means the line probably isn't getting any lower. But there's also a chance guys like Chris Jones, Travis Kelce or Tyreek Hill could be cleared before Sunday. As long as Patrick Mahomes is out there, I'm not worried about his weapons, particularly with the Steelers offense again looking awful last week. The Chiefs may be able to cover this number by just getting to 21 considering how well their defense has played. The Chiefs spent over a year struggling to cover games but are now on a 5-0 ATS run. Let's make it 6-0.

In their last five games, the Steelers have been outscored 91-19 in the first half. Pittsburgh was extremely fortunate to beat Tennessee: the Steelers were plus-4 in turnover margin and averaged a measly 3.7 yards per play and 2.1 yards per carry. With the league's updated COVID protocols, Travis Kelce (among others) has a good chance to be activated for this game. The Chiefs also had extra time to prepare after playing on Thursday in Week 15. That always bodes well for Andy Reid. Look for KC to pick up its eighth straight win, this one by double digits.