Though I missed the value here with the hook, I still like it as a bounce-back spot for the Seahawks and Russell Wilson, which are far better than their play suggests. Seattle was exposed against two of the best defenses in the league over the last couple of weeks, but Washington does not bring anything of the sort into Monday's game. The Football Team is getting a lot of credit for their win over the Buccaneers in this spot, and yet, they are still home underdogs in primetime. The Seahawks have faced one of the league's toughest schedules to this point and should be in for a get-right game here in their absolute last hope to salvage the season.

Not sure if I will make a spread pick or not, but this total seems high if you have seen Russell Wilson since his return from finger surgery. He simply does not look right in completing only about 50 percent of his passes for no TDs and two picks in the past two games -- in which Seattle totaled 13 points. Seattle's defense played quite well in both games and Washington's defense also has improved of late despite having lost Chase Young. The SportsLine Projection Model has 45 points being scored tonight. The Under is 5-0 in Seattle's past five on the road and 4-1 in Washington's past five overall.

Plenty of negative talk about Russell Wilson, and quite frankly the Seahawks as a whole, since his return from injury but if you look closer it's really not that bad. Wilson faced the two best teams in the NFC (Green Bay and Arizona), and one in the snow. Yes, Washington has been playing much better by comparison but Russ has an equalizer here...the deep ball. Since his return he's throwing passes on average 2.2 yards more per attempt. Washington is 7th worst in the league at allowing completions and 5th worst at 5+ rushers for pressure. Simply put, everything changes when Russell connects deep early and gains a lead. He'll do just that and bring Washington back down to Earth...and collect a win in the process.

Russell Wilson simply hasn't looked right since returning earlier than expected from his injury, while the Seattle defense has seemed to give back the gains it made before the bye. But things are going to click for Wilson at some point, and there figures to be a lot of line value when they do. This one opened with Seahawks as 2.5-point favorites, and bettors rightly steamed it down. But the oddsmakers obviously think a bounceback is coming for Seattle at some point. Maybe it's against a Washington defense that's last in the league on third downs? Feels like we're buying low on Seattle and selling high on Washington right now, so I'll trust Russ to deliver some primetime magic.

Washington has looked like a different team since the bye, continuing Ron Rivera's career-long trend of post-bye success. Seattle is averaging 19.4 points per game. The Seahawks went 20 offensive possessions without a touchdown until a late score in last week's 23-13 home loss to Colt McCoy-led Arizona. I'm playing WFT on the moneyline at -125.

The Seahawks’ second straight desultory offensive showing since QB Russell Wilson’s return from injury hiatus knocked this line down by a field goal. That’s not enough. No way a Seattle pick could be justified after 13 points were tallied in those games. The Seahawks went 20 possessions without a touchdown until a late score Sunday. Washington’s past two weeks were quite the contrast to that: straight-up wins over Tampa Bay and Carolina, with QB Taylor Heinicke shining.