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    Sat, Jan 049:35 pm UTCNRG Stadium
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Buffalo
    Bills
    BUF
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L0-0
    ATS0-0
    O/U0-0-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Houston
    Texans
    HOU
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L0-0
    ATS0-0
    O/U0-0-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    0-0
    Win /Loss
    0-0
    0-0
    Spread
    0-0
    0-0-0
    Over / Under
    0-0-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    OT
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    TE
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    WR
    Key Injuries
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    DT
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    SAF
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    CB
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    BUF @ HOU
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    MONEYLINE
    BUF @ HOU
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    OVER / UNDER
    BUF @ HOU
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Expert's PickBuffalo +2.5 -102
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1335
    21-7 in Last 28 NFL ATS Picks
    Brett's Analysis:

    Eight of the Texans' 10 wins came by just one score, five were by three points or less, and most of those were against lesser opponents than the Bills and Sean McDermott. Houston is just 2-6 ATS at home, while Buffalo is 6-1-1 ATS on the road. Will Fuller isn't the Texans' best WR, but they went 8-3 with him and 2-3 without him. In fact, Houston averaged 26.3 points and 296.8 passing yards with Fuller, and those numbers crashed to 19.3 points and 158.3 passing yards without him. Fuller isn't playing in this one, and the Bills are getting points. Grab the 2.5.

    Pick Made: Jan 04, 8:14 pm UTC on Consensus
    Expert's PickHouston -2.5 -119
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1013
    19-8-1 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    Kenny's Analysis:

    Buffalo has played five games against teams with a winning record and has gone 1-4 while averaging just 14.2 points per game. Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson rates out three points better than the average quarterback while Buffalo's Josh Allen, who will be playing his first playoff game, was one point below average. Defensive lineman J.J. Watt returns for Houston, which is a one-point upgrade for the Texans defense. I have Houston.

    Pick Made: Jan 04, 2:58 pm UTC on Consensus
    Expert's PickHouston -2.5 -119
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2294
    84-55-8 in Last 147 NFL Picks
    +1696
    48-28-2 in Last 78 NFL ATS Picks
    Adam's Analysis:

    This line may hit and even pass the key number as we get closer to kickoff. While the Bills deserve respect for their defensive acumen, I do not see how they can score enough points to beat the Texans. That's not to say Houston is a bunch of world beaters, but I trust Deshaun Watson in this spot, and their weapons are better. J.J. Watt returning helps, and there is talent on that Texans defense. Unless the Bills manage a defensive score, I'm not sure how they stay within the small number here.

    Pick Made: Jan 04, 4:13 am UTC on Consensus
    Expert's PickHouston -2.5 -116
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +681
    29-20-1 in Last 50 NFL ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    Though the overall stats point to the Bills as the better team and though I have concerns about the Texans defense, there are two key factors I can't get over. One: The Bills were 1-4 against playoff teams, with the only win against the Titans before their QB change when they were clearly not playoff-caliber. Two: Strength of schedule clearly favors the Texans (sixth, per Football Outsiders) over the Bills (30th), key for two teams with identical records. Throw in a secretly-important injury issue for Buffalo with Levi Wallace nursing an ankle sprain, and I expect the Texans to get it done at home.

    Pick Made: Jan 01, 5:40 pm UTC on Consensus
    Expert's PickHouston -2.5 -116
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1866
    62-39 in Last 101 NFL Picks
    +90
    2-1 in Last 3 NFL ATS Picks
    Emory's Analysis:

    The Bills have been impressive defensively, but they face a supreme challenge trying to stop Deshaun Watson. He thrives in pressure situations, and I trust him here more than second-year QB Josh Allen. Lay the small number.

    Pick Made: Jan 01, 5:02 pm UTC on Consensus
    Expert's PickHouston -2.5 -112
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1754
    33-14-3 in Last 50 NFL Picks
    Hammer's Analysis:

    Buffalo got some key guys hurt last week in a meaningless game. J.J. Watt is coming back for Houston and I think the Bills will struggle to score. Deshaun Watson will have a decent game, Carlos Hyde will do some damage on the ground and the Texans will win.

    Pick Made: Dec 31, 7:13 pm UTC on Consensus
    Expert's PickHouston -2.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2425
    44-18-4 in Last 66 NFL Picks
    +655
    11-4 in Last 15 NFL ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    Finally, Buffalo is getting some respect from the public, but it’s too much. Houston’s frequent flubs in the wild-card round -- the Texans have covered just once in the last five postseason outings -- have depressed this line to below a field goal. The Bills have been impressive but their offense can’t hold a candle to Houston’s. If DE J.J. Watt returns after being written off for the season with a pectoral muscle injury, the morale boost would be incalculable. Lay the points.

    Pick Made: Dec 31, 4:22 am UTC on Consensus

    Team Injuries

    Buffalo Bills
    Monday, Nov 18, 2024
    Avatar
    OT
    Spencer Brown
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    TE
    Dalton Kincaid
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Keon Coleman
    WristQuestionable
    Houston Texans
    Monday, Nov 25, 2024
    Avatar
    DT
    Foley Fatukasi
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Jalen Pitre
    PectoralQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Ka'dar Hollman
    Knee - ACLOut
    Avatar
    OT
    Blake Fisher
    ConcussionQuestionable
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