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Understanding Public and Money
The Pittsburgh Steelers' elevated level of play has been impressive on both sides of the football. Defensively they’re hindering opponents just enough to keep the offense from being uncomfortable. For Arizona, the rookie woes of Kyler Murray were inevitable and got showcased in last week’s blowout home loss to the Rams. Sunday, look for Murray and the Cardinals to re-establish themselves and get the home cover. --
Steelers games have gone Under the total in all five road contests they’ve played so far, and when you consider that James Conner and JuJu Smith-Schuster are out with injuries and third stringer Duck Hodges will start at QB, it’s hard to envision a lot of points here. The Steelers also bring the No. 3 defense by DVOA. Take the Under.
Pittsburgh's defense has looked like the old Blitzburgh defenses of yesteryear during this amazing stretch of games. Offensively, Devlin Hodges gives them a chance to put points up on the board, enough to where they can be trusted. Arizona is a bit too inconsistent from week-to-week to be counted on to pull off the upset against a red-hot Steelers squad.
Here is the average score for the past four Pittsburgh games: 15-13.5. That’s not halftime, but end-of-game. With top RB James Conner (shoulder) out again, the Steelers’ offense likely won't feast on Arizona’s bottom-rated defense. Pittsburgh’s defense might make rookie QB Kyler Murray wish he’d stayed another year in college. It ranks third in sacks, second in interceptions and tied for first in forced fumbles. --
I want to jump all over the Steelers, but I'm going to be cautious with Duck Hodges hitting the road, even though I think he can have success against a bad Arizona defense. On the other side, I don't see much happening for this Cardinals offense against an elite Pittsburgh defense that ranks top five against both the run and pass. It appears JuJu Smith-Schuster will sit again, and that brings the Steelers' offensive upside down enough to make the under a best bet, and it's been very profitable in their games this year at 9-3. In their last four games, the most either side scored in a game was 21. If that holds, this is an easy cover.
The Steelers' offense remains extremely limited, and I think their elite defense will contain Kyler Murray and the Cards. Look for a 20-17 type of game and go Under.