The win at Philadelphia last week was impressive, which is why Detroit does not deserve to be such a home dog in this spot. Kansas City should probably be five-point favorite. But let me ask you this: Do you actually think the Lions can keep up with the Chiefs when Patrick Mahomes -- finally -- gets an opportunity to go nuts inside a dome? "Unbeaten" Detroit may be getting a bit too much credit for its start, and two of its games have already gone over the projected totals. I don't think a hobbled Matt Stafford and the Lions will be able to keep up, so let's ride with the Chiefs.

The Chiefs are dealing with a few key injuries, but the absence of Tyreek Hill hasn't slowed them down yet and they still took it to Baltimore while dealing with issues to Eric Fisher and Damien Williams. I think Detroit has been underrated and have been on them each week from the jump, but I don't know how their offense, which is 23rd in points scored per drive, keeps up here with a Chiefs offense that can score whatever they want. With late news that Matthew Stafford is dealing with a hip injury, which has him listed as questionable, that's even more reason to love the Chiefs here.

This will be Patrick Mahomes’ first indoor game as a pro after playing his first 20 games outdoors, and that could be bad news for the Lions. Mahomes played four indoor games in college ... and averaged 492 passing yards and 4.75 TDs per game in them. The Lions are unbeaten, but also aren't really that far from being 0-3. Detroit doesn’t have the firepower to hang with this Chiefs offense. With the line at less than a touchdown, lay the points.

The Chiefs have gone Over in 16 of their last 21 road games, and this is a good spot at Detroit where I expect the trend to continue. Their average score has been 31-23 this season, and the Lions have shown they can put up some points as well, which will help the cause. The Chiefs defense shows little resistance. Look for an entertaining shootout, and take the Over.

Kansas City's totals are creeping up week by week. This one is the highest of the season even though Detroit’s defense ranks 11th in yards allowed per pass. QB Patrick Mahomes might not have his way this time. An Over would snap a streak of a half-dozen Unders at home for the Lions. They gave up an average of 11 ppg in their last four outings of 2018 and have not allowed more than 24 points in regulation this season.

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is on pace to throw for more than 6,000 yards, which would be the first time in NFL history that has been done. He'll continue at a record pace against a Lions team that is the most vulnerable undefeated team in the NFL right now because of a lack of an identity on offense. When that's a question against Kansas City, you don't have a shot to keep it close. Take the Chiefs.