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Fri, Apr 2511:00 pm UTCKia Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L65-22
ATS45-42
O/U36-42-0
FINAL SCORE
93
-
95
Orlando
Magic
ORL
Last 5 ATS
W/L43-45
ATS44-44
O/U36-48-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
65-22
Win /Loss
43-45
45-42
Spread
44-44
36-42-0
Over / Under
36-48-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ ORL
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MONEYLINE
BOS @ ORL
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ ORL
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65%
PUBLIC
35%
MONEY
82%
PUBLIC
18%
MONEY
Over91%
PUBLIC
Under9%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineOrlando +145
WIN
Unit1.0
+145
2-1 in Last 3 NBA ML Picks
+120
2-1 in Last 3 BOS ML Picks
Tim's Analysis:

Orlando has won three straight home playoff games (last loss coming in 2020). The Magic didn’t embarrass themselves in Boston, losing two mostly competitive games. The role players for the Magic will help out more at home. Give me the underdog straight up.

Pick Made: Apr 25, 5:30 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total PointsDerrick White Under 18.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit1.5
+1322
131-94 in Last 225 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Derrick White continues to show why he is one of Bostons most valuable players and truly one of the leagues most underrated two way players. With that being said, this is a huge line for the combo guard in a game with an anemic total of just 196 points. The Magic are a good defense and play at at the leagues slowest pace. I would play this for a full unit at 17.5.

Pick Made: Apr 25, 4:37 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadOrlando +3.5 -105
WIN
Unit0.5
+3011.25
154-86-1 in Last 241 NBA Picks
+356.5
28-22-1 in Last 51 NBA ATS Picks
+271
12-9 in Last 21 BOS ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This is the new number with Jaylen Brown (questionable) added to the injury report along with Jrue Holiday (questionable) and Jayson Tatum (doubtful). Almost sure Tatum won't play and maybe the C's are simply playing some mind games regarding Brown and Holiday ... but in case they aren't and somewhat treating this as a "punt" game. The NBA definitely in this betting era monitors these late injury report adds in the playoffs so Brown going on late tends to make me think he could indeed sit. Orlando might win anyways.

Pick Made: Apr 25, 4:23 pm UTC on Caesars
Avatar
Total 3pt Field GoalsJaylen Brown Over 1.5 Total 3pt Field Goals -128
LOSS
Unit1.0
+180
4-2 in Last 6 NBA Player Props Picks
Stephen's Analysis:

I pounced on this when it was +108 on FanDuel less than 24 hours ago, but it’s still worth it at -128. This projection includes a 50% Jayson Tatum and he’s been listed as doubtful so if/when he is ruled out, Brown’s projection and line will increase. I think it’s important to act now on this. The line is lower because his over 1.5% is considerably lower on the road at 41.4% vs at home at 63.9% and Orlando defends the 3 much better at home (35%) vs road (38%). Even if Tatum comes back perhaps he is not as focused on shooting the three given his wrist injury and he will look to penetrate and kick out to teammates like Brown more than normal.

Pick Made: Apr 25, 2:41 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total PointsJaylen Brown Over 23.5 Total Points -111
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2803
151-105 in Last 256 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Jayson Tatum (wrist) is listed as doubtful for Game 3 after sitting out Game 2. The Celtics are up 2-0 in the series, so there is no need to rush him back right now. With Tatum out in Game 2, Jaylen Brown scored 36 points across 42 minutes. The key was, he took 19 shots from the field and attempted eight free throws. The Magic have a great defense and play well at home, but Brown’s increased usage rate still puts him in a favorable spot to hit this over.

Pick Made: Apr 25, 12:18 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadOrlando +5 -114
WIN
Unit1.0
+2250
115-84-1 in Last 200 NBA Picks
+1446
52-34 in Last 86 NBA ATS Picks
+823
39-28 in Last 67 ORL ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Though down 2-0, the Magic have at least succeeded in making this an uncomfortable series for the Celtics. Jayson Tatum (wrist) is once again a doubtful, and worth noting that in a game he also missed at Orlando earlier this season (December 23), Boston lost 108-104 despite 35 points from Jaylen Brown, who scored nearly the same (35) on Sunday when the Celtics won, but didn't cover, in Game 2. Though Boston had geared it down and rested starters in the 96-76 loss at Kia Center on April 9, the Celtics were 0-2 in Orlando this season. Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner are combining for 58 ppg in this series, and a little help from elsewhere might give the Magic a legit chance. Play Magic

Pick Made: Apr 25, 6:30 am UTC on BetRivers
Money LineBoston -185
LOSS
Unit1.0
+977.5
83-65 in Last 148 NBA Picks
+50
3-2 in Last 5 NBA ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Sounds like Jayson Tatum might be able to go in this game. Orlando is a lot tougher at home than on the road, and they can certainly make this another rock fight and keep it close ... but I just don't see enough scoring options and enough ways to get to the hoop for them to match Boston shot for shot. The Celtics' playoff pedigree is obviously legit and they will be intent on trying to make short work of this series and get some rest before the second round. Taking care of business comfortably without Tatum in Game 2 had to be a blow to the Magic's confidence. Finding this under -200 works for me.

Pick Made: Apr 25, 12:21 am UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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67 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for P. Banchero, C. Joseph and 65 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Boston Celtics
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Avatar
PG
Jrue Holiday
HamstringQuestionable
Orlando Magic
Sunday, Dec 22, 2024
Avatar
C
Moe Wagner
KneeOfs
Tuesday, Mar 04, 2025
Avatar
SG
Jalen Suggs
KneeOfs

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
47%
40-44
43-42
50%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
51%
21-20
23-19
54%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
48%
39-41
15-21
41%
When Spread was -8 to -5
SPREAD
When Spread was +5 to +8
57%
11-8
5-9
35%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
54%
20-17
5-8
38%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
63%
17-10
14-15
48%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
46%
38-44
41-41
50%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
47%
34-37
34-37
47%
vs ORL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
40%
2-3
3-2
60%
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