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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
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I like this spot for Aaron Gordon to bounce back after a relative dud in game 1 of this series. Gordon played huge minutes and had a very solid opening round series against the Lakers. With Rudy Gobert missing in the Timberwolves lineup tonight, Gordon should have a lot more favorable looks and scoring chances. Look for AG to get us at least 14+ points in a must win game.
There are still 8.5s in the market in the -140 range, which I'd recommend. But I'll still go Over 9.5 at plus-money for Mike Conley. He had 10 assists and four rebounds in Game 1 -- the fourth time in five playoff games he's cleared this prop total. He's also played 31 or more minutes in four straight. This is the 36-year-old Conley's best chance ever for a ring, and he's playing like it.
Just got our first 7 even though it sounds like Rudy Gobert will make it to Denver in time after the birth of his child. Obviously I don't like this if he's not playing. Jamal Murray is questionable as well but am quite sure he plays. Maybe the Nuggets blast the Wolves in a near must-win game, but Denver showed some major vulnerability in the Lakers series and frankly does not have as talented an overall roster as Minnesota in my opinion.
Reid is a guy who hits this number if he gets usage. With Rudy Gobert being questionable….let’s grab this now
Strange that KAT basically sat the 4th quarter…despite scoring 20. But if Rudy G is out (a possibility) Kat should get way more usage…let playa. Rare over
Love this spot for KAT who scored 20 points in game 1, despite not playing very many minutes in the 4th quarter. The Nuggets have struggled with bigs that can stretch the floor all season long, and I expect Anthony Edwards production to decrease as well. I think KAT could play more minutes and I believe he will be aggressive tonight, especially if Rudy Gobert misses the game.
While very tempted to play the zig-zag and give the Nuggets a whirl tonight in Game Two, we see a bit more value at available options on the "over" side. There were some oddities associated with Saturday's Game One that don't figure to repeat tonight, including a very sluggish 2nd Q when only 36 points were scored, and some inefficient possessions in the final sequence that could have pushed that result "over" as well. Note that the last three meetings between these sides in the regular season all cleared this 208 for tonight in Denver. Play T-wolves-Nuggets "Over"
Denver is going to have their difficulties against the Minnesota Timberwolves, but game two I believe goes there way convincingly. For as mediocre as Denver played in game one, they still had the lead for stages and had a chance to win late. Expect Denver to have better team balance and get more shots for Aaron Gordon, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and their star guard Jamal Murray. Play the Nuggets on the spread.
Conley didn't have to look for his shot a ton in Game 1, with ANT going crazy and the Wolves outclassing the Nuggets with plenty of time to spare. The pace was manageable but Denver has to have more urgency now and Conley will attempt way more than the 8 shots and one foul shot from Game 1. That said he still cleared this easily in the opener and averaged 18/G vs DEN in regular season and through 5 games vs them in making 62.5% of his shots against the Nuggets.
We detailed how much damage Conley did to the Nuggets across the board in their 4 regular season meetings and his prowess in all three categories, So much attention foes to stopping their three bigs that he gets great looks and easy dishes for lay-up assists. He's shot the 3-ball expertly vs them and is shooting 62.5% vs them from the field through 5 games. Conley, who was a stud vs NO in round one, averaged 27 P+R+A vs DEN in regular season and had 28 in Game 1.
The Wolves have now won 4 of 5 from Denver and while some are laughing off what The Joker said about all the MIN bigs wearing him out after Game 1, it sounded a little defeatist to me. Wolves aren't scared of being on road and can still run in altitude and their defensive prowess is legit. KAT is +28 in 3 games vs DEN. Nuggets continue to start slow and if Murray isn't right (he's been off a lot), it makes defending the Nuggets a lot easier. Wolves are so fresh after two long breaks heading into and out of the first round. They just might be the better team and Reid, KAT and Gobert have lot of fouls to give vs Jokic.
Jamal Murray (calf strain) is questionable but fully expected to play. It's a quick turnaround after Game 1, when he went scoreless in the first half but finished with 17 points. Murray played just 34 minutes -- five fewer than in any game this postseason. That's likely a result of his lingering injury. Murray could very well hit the game-winning jumper to tie the series, that's how good he is in clutch situations, but against this elite Minnesota defense I like him to stay Under 23 points.