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Track OnCBS Sports
Indiana
Pacers
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L55-45
ATS52-44
O/U52-46-0
FINAL SCORE
92
-
115
Milwaukee
Bucks
MIL
Last 5 ATS
W/L51-37
ATS38-50
O/U45-43-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
55-45
Win /Loss
51-37
52-44
Spread
38-50
52-46-0
Over / Under
45-43-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
IND @ MIL
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MONEYLINE
IND @ MIL
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OVER / UNDER
IND @ MIL
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73%
PUBLIC
27%
MONEY
49%
PUBLIC
51%
MONEY
Over83%
PUBLIC
Under17%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total ReboundsBobby Portis Under 12.5 Total Rebounds -106
WIN
Unit1.0
+40
9-7 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
Mackenzie's Analysis:

This is an insane line. I understand he had 18 in Game 3 but this feels like a bit if an exaggeration. He's only his this over twice in his last 15 games. In his highest production, 30+ minute games this season, he is still hitting this under in 12 of the 14. Same story with games without Giannis: strong trends to the under. I think Bobby Portis can have himself an awesome game across the board tonight, but I think that can be done with 11 boards.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 6:58 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadIndiana -4 -115
LOSS
Unit1.0
+793
19-10-1 in Last 30 NBA Sides Picks
+693
18-10-1 in Last 29 NBA ATS Picks
+801
43-32 in Last 75 MIL ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

One has to wonder how much is left in the tank for the Milwaukee Bucks. They fought hard in Indiana taking game three to overtime, and hanging around for the majority of game four. Yet, with Damian Lillard out in game four the Bucks made ten less three pointers than Indiana. Fatigue along with that factor will be the difference in game five. Take the Pacers.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 6:16 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsBobby Portis Under 36.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -123
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This is a big number for Bobby Portis even without Damian Lillard and Giannis in then lineup. Portis is a very productive player that typically comes off the bench when the Bucks are at full strength. He is much bigger offensive responsibilities with Milwaukee missing their two stars and leading scorers. While Portis usage should obviously increase he tends to struggle when hes a primary or secondary scoring option which is why I like fading him tonight.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 6:13 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LineIndiana -180
LOSS
Unit0.5
+2001.25
170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
+1841
107-55 in Last 162 NBA ML Picks
+2549
61-22 in Last 83 MIL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Seems highly doubtful that Giannis and Dame Lillard will play and in fact they are both listed doubtful. This would be quite a bit higher but Tyrese Haliburton is questionable for Indiana. Highly doubt he sits with the Pacers having the chance to finish off a short-handed Bucks team and avoid a Game 6.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 1:23 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Over / UnderOver 214 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3342
322-243 in Last 565 NBA Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Both of these squads played very little defense in the regular season and that has translated to the playoffs. I am surprised this total is as low as it is considering they have easily eclipsed this total in three consecutive games. I personally don't see that trend suddenly changing in Game 5 and I have no clue why this total has actually shrunk a few points. Both teams like to get out and run, in addition to routinely getting shots up with double digits seconds left on the shot clock. Until they prove otherwise, I'm riding OVER.

Pick Made: Apr 30, 3:59 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadIndiana -4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+674
45-35 in Last 80 NBA ATS Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 MIL ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

This just looks like a terrible match-up for a beat up and disconnected Bucks team lacking leadership and size. Middleton limping around in Game 4, with Giannis and Dame already out for that game, is another bad sign. Bucks can't run with Indiana, who is topping 120 points on them in 7 of their 9 meetings Bucks can't be that prolific as presently constructed and Brook Lopez doesn't have another game him in like the last one. Doc Rivers doesn't have the answers and Bucks can't defend all the deep shooters the Pacers boast. IND already whipped them in Milwaukee by 17 in Game 3, so been there, done that

Pick Made: Apr 30, 1:46 am UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderOver 216.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+430
10-7 in Last 17 MIL O/U Picks
Jason's Analysis:

So maybe I am missing something here, but it doesn't sound like Giannis is gonna be back for this one, which means the Bucks have major issues defending. And Dame might be back, and we know he can score. Pacers won't shoot as well as they did last time out, but don't have to with this number so low again. In 9 games now these teams have produced - 239, 239, 233, 203, 272, 235, 266, 247, 250. Pacers at 121+ in 7 of 9 and 113+ in 8 of 9. There will be runs, they will play at Pace and defense will be in short supply

Pick Made: Apr 29, 3:11 pm UTC on FanDuel

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Indiana Pacers
Saturday, Nov 02, 2024
Avatar
C
Isaiah Jackson
AchillesOfs
Milwaukee Bucks
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
PG
Damian Lillard
AchillesOut
Avatar
PF
Tyler Smith
AnkleOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
46-38-3
36-49-1
42%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
53%
23-20-1
20-23
46%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
48%
22-23-1
8-10
44%
When Spread was -6.5 to -3.5
SPREAD
When Spread was +3.5 to +6.5
46%
7-8
4-3
57%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
46%
7-8
4-1
80%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
56%
25-19-2
24-18
57%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
54%
45-38-3
36-47-1
43%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
60%
43-28-3
29-42-1
40%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs IND
66%
6-3
3-6
33%
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