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Sat, Apr 207:30 pm UTCTarget Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Phoenix
Suns
PHO
Last 5 ATS
W/L49-37
ATS35-49
O/U39-46-0
FINAL SCORE
95
-
120
Minnesota
Timberwolves
MIN
Last 5 ATS
W/L65-33
ATS49-45
O/U50-46-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
49-37
Win /Loss
65-33
35-49
Spread
49-45
39-46-0
Over / Under
50-46-1
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
Avatar
SG
Avatar
SG
Avatar
SG
Key Injuries
Avatar
SG
Avatar
PF
Avatar
PG
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PHO @ MIN
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MONEYLINE
PHO @ MIN
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OVER / UNDER
PHO @ MIN
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

54%
PUBLIC
46%
MONEY
50%
PUBLIC
50%
MONEY
Over84%
PUBLIC
Under16%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadPhoenix +2.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+793
19-10-1 in Last 30 NBA Picks
+693
18-10-1 in Last 29 NBA ATS Picks
+780
21-12-2 in Last 35 PHO ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

One of the toughest elements of the postseason is handling heightened pressure. For the Minnesota Timberwolves they had a banner year but now enter a phase they have not experienced as a higher seed in the Western Conference. To make matters worse the Suns have won nine out of the last ten matchups including a road win last Sunday. Take Phoenix to get another win over the young Timberwolves.

Pick Made: Apr 20, 5:12 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsKevin Durant Over 33.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -128
WIN
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Kevin Durant averages 41.4 PRA in the playoffs. This is a difficult matchup but KD is still an elite player/scorer and capable of getting home in just points. He is likely to play upwards of 44-46 minutes in this game and may even have the most favorable individual matchup if the Wolves decide to have KAT guard him. Regardless of who defends him he is a matchup nightmare for Minnesota.

Pick Made: Apr 20, 5:38 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsKevin Durant Over 23.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit1.0
Erik's Analysis:

Playoffs means more minutes for KD! And he will make sure he gets his shots. Based on the shorter bench and matchup I project 26.5 so let’s grab this in case it creeps up. Rare over

Pick Made: Apr 19, 10:23 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadMinnesota -1.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+310
13-9-1 in Last 23 PHO ATS Picks
Micah's Analysis:

Suns have won the last four meetings with the Timberwolves and they've covered the last nine meetings. That's a nine and 0 ATS trend that's hard to ignore. But Minnesota is better than both losses this year show. The two losses were at the end of the year, while for most of the year, the Suns were struggling but came on at the end of the season with 48 wins. The Timberwolves finished with 56 wins and slowed down towards the end of the season. I think the Timberwolves in the playoffs will be a problem for a tired Suns squad that never came together.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 9:01 pm UTC on DraftKings
Total Away PointsPhoenix Over 106.5 Total Pts -110
LOSS
Unit0.5
+250
5-0 in Last 5 NBA Team Props Picks
Erik's Analysis:

Kevin Durant is feeling it, Booker and Beal are both ready and Minn is a bit overrated on the D end. Expect the 4th to be the highest scoring quarter and this to go over

Pick Made: Apr 19, 8:35 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
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Total PointsGrayson Allen Over 12.5 Total Points -127
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Provided a nice scoring boost as the Suns solidified their payoff path, got his bag which can only boost his confidence and keep him shooting loose and averaged over three 3 pointers a game vs LAC this season Clippers perimeter defense was often lacking in the second half of the season, Bradley Beal doesn't usually look for his shot as much as he used to, and Allen can get hot quickly. He's +19.7 vs the Mavs this season, which I think the staff will lean into here and give him the kind of run to produce 15+ points as the Suns treat the scoreboard line a pinball machine. Tilt!

Pick Made: Apr 19, 3:08 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
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Total Points + AssistsBradley Beal Over 22.5 Total Points + Assists -119
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Beal is on the ball a lot and has no problem facilitating to some match-ups where others can go off. Also shot the three ball much better down the stretch and flexed his scoring muscles against these T-Wolves over the weekend. Honestly, if this is another run-and-gun game he might go over this on scoring alone, but also think he will pick up some easy assists to KD, Booker and others.

Pick Made: Apr 18, 2:21 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
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Total PointsKevin Durant Over 23.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit1.0
Jason's Analysis:

Playoff KD is a think, KD can take over when he needs to and KD carries a nice scoring load down the stretch when needed most. He has been a major headache for the Wolves, despite their overall defensive prowess, he is at least +22 in 3 games against them and is looking for his shot. I expect him to get fed and get to the line as well. Been riding this one into the playoffs and figure it will rise

Pick Made: Apr 18, 2:19 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
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Total PointsKevin Durant Over 23.5 Total Points -125
WIN
Unit1.5
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

KD has eclipsed this line in 12 of his last 13 playoff games. Durant is one of the greatest scorers in NBA history and while he may not be at peak powers he is still capable of scoring 30 points versus any opponent on any given night. This is a difficult matchup but the offense will run through him, I anticipate him getting up 18-20+ shots, and he's likely to play 42+ minutes as well.

Pick Made: Apr 18, 4:22 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Money LinePhoenix +110
LOSS
Unit1.5
+249
4-3 in Last 7 MIN ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

Sometime one team just lives in the head of another. Seeding doesn't seem to matter. MIN is an elite defensive team and that's the hallmark ... except when they play the Suns. PHX beat them 3 straight, all by 10+ points. Go listen to Anthony Edwards's post-game interview Sun and tell me the Wolves aren't in trouble here. KD at the 4 and the Suns body-types are a problem for MIN; Edwards can't get off high % shots, has 7 or less attempts in 2 of 3 games (13/32 vs PHA for season). KD is +79(!) in 3 games vs them. PHX avg halftime lead vs MIN: 17.7. MIN struggling how to fold KAT back in after long injury absence.

Pick Made: Apr 17, 2:32 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Phoenix Suns
Thursday, Dec 26, 2024
Avatar
SG
Grayson Allen
ConcussionOut
Avatar
SG
Devin Booker
GroinOut
Avatar
SG
Collin Gillespie
AnkleOut
Avatar
C
Bol Bol
KneeOut
Minnesota Timberwolves
Thursday, Dec 26, 2024
Avatar
SG
Joe Ingles
CalfOut
Avatar
PF
Luka Garza
AnkleOut
Avatar
PG
Daishen Nix
AnkleOut
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