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Wed, Dec 1312:30 am UTCAmerican Airlines Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Los Angeles
Lakers
LAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L47-35
ATS38-44
O/U47-34-1
FINAL SCORE
125
-
127
Dallas
Mavericks
DAL
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-32
ATS47-33
O/U36-43-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
47-35
Win /Loss
50-32
38-44
Spread
47-33
47-34-1
Over / Under
36-43-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
LAL @ DAL
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MONEYLINE
LAL @ DAL
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OVER / UNDER
LAL @ DAL
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47%
PUBLIC
53%
MONEY
71%
PUBLIC
29%
MONEY
Over33%
PUBLIC
Under67%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsLeBron James Under 27.5 Total Points -154
LOSS
Unit0.5
+743.5
34-17 in Last 51 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This feels like a MASSIVE letdown game for the Lakers off the In-Season Tournament title and LeBron isn't even assured of playing. If the Mavs weren't potentially without half their team, I'd hammer them ATS. So even if LeBron does play, I fully expect a minutes reduction immediately. And if all those Mavs are out led by Luka Doncic, this might be a blowout for LA regardless.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 9:38 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadDallas +3.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+352
21-16-1 in Last 38 LAL ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It's not the IST anymore, which the Lakers seemed to take more seriously than anyone else. Though with a few days of rest since the finale in Vegas vs. the Pacers (which doesn't count in the standings), and Dallas off of a game last night, maybe a schedule edge for Lake Show.. The Mavs, however, had a few days of break beforehand, and won their third in a row last night behind Luka's 35 points. The absence of Kyrie Irving is nothing new for the Mavs, who beat the Lakers the night before Thanksgiving in LA when Luka scored 30. The value here seems to be on the Dallas side. Play Mavs

Pick Made: Dec 12, 6:05 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsAnthony Davis Under 41.5 Total Points + Rebounds -125
LOSS
Unit1.5
Erik's Analysis:

Davis has to be exhausted. He emptied the tank during the in season tourney and should be in a great spot to regress back from his terrific numbers. Let’s fade a very very generous number. Plus his min should come down which help us.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 5:02 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsAnthony Davis Under 41.5 Total Points + Rebounds -125
LOSS
Unit1.5
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This is a huge number for Anthony Davis who is averaging 35.7 Points + Reb this season. AD was arguably the best two way player in the NBA's inaugural in-season tournament and not only logged big minutes but was the driving force behind the Lakers holding their opponents to under 100 PPG over their last four games. Tonight he will face a poor Mavs D however I just think he's unlikely to play big minutes and it is unlikely he sees similar usage considering this is just another regular season game.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 4:28 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadL.A. Lakers -1.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+793
19-10-1 in Last 30 NBA Sides Picks
+693
18-10-1 in Last 29 NBA ATS Picks
+923
28-17-2 in Last 47 DAL ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

The Lakers will travel on the road to face a Dallas Mavericks team in a back to back spot. Look for the Lakers to continue their momentum from their in-season tournament title. Although the Mavericks have won three straight it’s been against weak opponents in Utah, Portland, and Memphis. Take the Lakers

Pick Made: Dec 12, 5:19 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadDallas +2 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Mike's Analysis:

There is no precedent for judging a potential letdown in the resumption of the regular season after a team wins the NBA Cup. Don't research too diligently; last week's was the first. What we know is the Lakers poured their heart and soul into the tourney, none more so than old guys LeBron James and Anthony Davis. It would be no surprise if both bypass half of this game, maybe more. The Lakes surely can legit start shaving James' and Davis' minutes after the pair of oldies left little in the tank. L.A. has one edge, Dallas having played Monday at Memphis. But the Mavs return home with their third straight W. Their motivation should tower over the chillin' Lakers.

Pick Made: Dec 12, 4:00 am UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Los Angeles Lakers
Saturday, Apr 12, 2025
Avatar
C
Maxi Kleber
FootQuestionable
Dallas Mavericks
Saturday, Apr 12, 2025
Avatar
SG
Klay Thompson
FootOut
Avatar
C
Anthony Davis
GroinOut
Avatar
PG
Spencer Dinwiddie
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
PF
PJ Washington
AnkleOut
Avatar
C
Dereck Lively II
AnkleQuestionable
Friday, Mar 07, 2025
Avatar
SF
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
WristOfs
Tuesday, Mar 04, 2025
Avatar
PG
Kyrie Irving
KneeOfs

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
47%
11-12-1
12-10
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
6-6-1
4-6
40%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
53%
8-7-1
1-4
20%
When Spread was -3.5 to -1
SPREAD
When Spread was +1 to +3.5
42%
3-4
1-2
33%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
60%
3-2-1
0-1
0%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
22%
2-7-1
3-4
42%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
55%
11-9-1
11-9
55%
After a Day Off
REST
in 2nd Game of Back-to-Back
57%
11-8-1
2-2
50%
vs DAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs LAL
0%
0-1
1-0
100%
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