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In Game 1, the Suns defeated the Bucks in multiple phases. The first half involved better execution at the rim and an aggressive offense that led to more free throws. In the second half, they showcased their depth and ability to run in transition for easy baskets. Look for Phoenix to build off that victory and take a 2-0 lead in the series.
It seems generally agreed upon that the Bucks will severely limit the minutes of Brook Lopez because he was getting torched defensively in Game 1. That's fine. But that would also make a very thin team that much thinner. And what about the three-point shooting Lopez provides? Frankly, I'm also not that confident in any changes Coach Mike Budenholzer would make because he has been outcoached the past two postseasons in series losses. Plus, Jrue Holiday only seems to play well when Giannis is out. The Suns are down reserve Dario Saric (see news feed), but he hadn't done much in these playoffs.
The Bucks' last three games have gone Over, and I like it to happen again tonight. Game 1 got Over despite poor shooting by the Bucks in the first half. But the shot attempts and pace showed the game was going Over, and then in the second half they had the same pace but were making shots. I expect the same pace in Game 2 and expect the Suns to oblige and play the same game. I’m on the Over.
Milwaukee will make defensive adjustments in Game 2 after falling by 13 points in the series opener, especially limiting Brook Lopez’s playing time. Bucks superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo was moving better than we all expected in his return from a knee injury, and he will be even sharper in Game 2. The points are huge. Take all of them!
The Suns won by 13 in Game 1, and they didn’t even play their normal game. Sure Devin Booker created free throws to get 10 of his 27 points, but he was only 1-of-8 from 3-point land. Usually, the Suns lose those games when he shoots poorly. Jae Crowder is the party mixer but went 0-for-8. But they still played great defense and beat up Giannis Antetokounmpo inside. What would happen if Booker and Crowder make 50 percent of their shots? It all comes together tonight. Suns get another double-digit win.
The Suns took it to the Bucks in Game 1, with Chris Paul leading the way. Deandre Ayton also dominated in the paint, and he could prove to be a tough matchup for Milwaukee throughout the series. The Bucks did have more success when they went small later in the game, playing Giannis Antetokounmpo at the five. I think they do that more in Game 2, which could help makes things a little closer. However, I still expect the Suns to win and cover on their home floor before the series shifts to Milwaukee.
Going to run it back with the Suns. They've now covered the past four meetings with Milwaukee, and they're an amazing 35-16 ATS in their last 51 home games. Consider that the Bucks outshot the Suns from the 3-point line (44.4 percent to 32.4 percent) and still lost Game 1 by double digits. Beyond the brilliance of Chris Paul and Devin Booker, DeAndre Ayton (22 points, 19 rebounds) is the X-factor Milwaukee has no answer for. Lay the points.