


I'm looking at the total over, and the way I get there is with Max Scherzer giving up his traditional two runs and Shohei Ohtani giving up three, and then the bullpen does the rest. The Blue Jays hitters have beaten up the Dodgers bullpen. With Yoshi Yamamoto going yesterday, that's good news for the Blue Jays. During the postseason this year, they've hit an MLB high 27 home runs, 95 RBIs, and batted .282. When the Dodger pitchers are dominating the game, it stays under, but I don't see it that way here. If you like the Dodgers you play the under, and if you like the Blue Jays, you play the over, and I like the Blue Jays. Over is the play.
I've got to take the Blue Jays in this do-or-die situation for the World Series because they've earned it with their bats all season and especially the postseason. The Dodgers have hit only .230 in the postseason compared to the Blue Jays .282. The Dodgers got here because Milwaukee was slumping and not hitting the ball. But other than Yoshi Yamamoto, the Blue Jays have handled the Dodgers pitching. Yamamoto has two wins, and the Dodgers have an 18-inning win; the Blue Jays have dominated the rest. Shohei Ohtani gave up four runs in a 6-2 loss, and I don't expect him to last very long in this game. Max Scherzer in a Game 7, just like 2019 with the Nationals. Toronto to win.
Just when it looked like the Blue Jays were about to put the Dodgers on the ropes in 9th inning last night came a bang-bang double play to end the game and force a Game Seven tonight. But LA is still not doing much at the plate, only four hits last night, while the Jays have scored nine more runs in the World Series; their three wins are by a combined 23-7. Max Scherzer wants the ball and can give John Schneider four or five innings, which is all Dave Roberts likely gets for whomever starts for him (Shohei Ohtani?). In the end, the Dodger bullpen is going to have to feature, and that's been LA's Achilles heel. Play Blue Jays on Money Line
Will Joe Carter be in the building? Game 6s in Toronto, just saying. I will not be playing a Game 7 if there is one as will simply enjoy that -- it's no secret I root for Canadian teams for the most part in the US sports. Don't love fading Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but as just came up from JBogs in the Discord Channel, why are the Jays at home solidly cheaper +1.5 than the L.A. moneyline? They shouldn't be. No team dominated at home this season quite like Toronto. And Jays pitcher Kevin Gausman is no slouch. They have the better bullpen without question. And elimination games often are one-run, low-scoring matchups. Best-case scenario: Dodgers by a run tonight, Blue Jays on Saturday.
The Blue Jays have been the best-hitting team during the postseason, with the best average (.284), the most home runs (27), the most RBIs (94), and the most hits (168). The Dodgers are the next closest way behind with 126 hits and 60 RBIs. That is solid proof that they're ready to be champions as they're up 3-2 in the series. In the last two games, the Blue Jays resembled the Dodgers in their wins, winning with their pitching. Now the Dodgers send Yoshi Yamamoto, who has had two complete-game wins in his last two starts. The Blue Jays dominated the last two games. Dodger bats have gone cold. I'm going to play the under and think about the winner.
The Blue Jays won their first two World Series by clinching in the sixth game at Toronto in 1992 and 1993, but they didn't have to go against a Yoshi Yamamoto pitching his best of the season. This is it for the Dodgers. They have to win, or it’s over, but they're going with their best as Yamamoto comes off two straight complete games. In his last one, he allowed one run and four hits and got the last 20 hitters out. Kevin Gausman is pitching for the Blue Jays, and in Game 2, he allowed three runs in 6.2 innings, which I think will be all the Dodgers need to win again behind Yamamoto. I'm looking for a game seven. Dodgers win tonight.
The only real problems the Jays have had at the plate in this series came against Dodgers Game 6 starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who pitched a complete nine innings in the Game 2 win, as he did Game 2 of the NLCS vs. the Brewers. But after dealing successfully with Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow, and Shohei Ohtani on the mound in this series, Toronto won't blink. Worryingly for the Dodgers, their offense has been mostly reduced to solo homers in this series and has yet to really erupt since the wild card series vs. the Reds. Toronto's Kevin Gausman (2.55 ERA in five playoff games) has more than held his own on the mound this postseason.
If Yoshinobu Yamamoto is once again great here against the Blue Jays, I'll take my loss, but this line is at least one out too high and in a do-or-die game, I believe Dave Roberts will have more urgency when/if Yamamoto gets into trouble. The Dodgers starter has been insanely good the last two times out, throwing a complete game in each, but Roki Sasaki could be used much earlier than normal to put out a fire and even Shohei Ohtani may be used out of the bullpen tonight. It's all hands on deck in Game 6 and Yamamoto needs to have another stellar game on the mound to beat this line. Second time around against this lineup, I'll take the under.
Why not at this price as I'm not getting any good options on the actual game result (i.e. -1 or Dodgers not bat B9). The Dodgers need and want distance out of Blake Snell as Manager Dave Roberts does not trust his bullpen, nor should he. I also think L.A. might light up Jays rookie Trey Yesavage early on in just his third career road start and first in many weeks. So ideally Snell is up 3-0 or something after five, and he cruises for an inning or two more before getting pulled for possible relief duty in a Game 7 if necessary. No George Springer again for the Jays, presumably, and he's a rare guy with good career splits off Snell.
The World Series is now even, with each team winning two games and guaranteeing a return trip to Toronto for the 6th and possibly 7th game. In Game 5 tonight, we have Trey Yesavage going against left-hander Blake Snell, who got roughed up in the first outing in Game 1. That was the 11-4 Blue Jays win, one where they ran the pitch count up early on Snell to a hundred pitches thrown by the beginning of the 6th inning. I got a feeling that Snell is going to be much better at home with less monkeying around with the pitches. They took him out of his attack mode, and he knows it. I see another 5-1 Dodgers win.
If the Dodgers are to repeat as World Champions, winning Game 5 is essential, and if they're going to win, it's going to be with their pitching. Blake Snell got roughed up for five runs in the first game. He left three runners on base with no outs in the sixth inning that scored after he was pulled, reaching his 100 pitch limit, and six more runs scored for a nine-run inning. That's a stain on the Dodgers that Snell knows he has to fix. The Dodgers aren't hitting, batting only .243 in the playoffs with 59 RBIs in 14 playoff games, so they have to win by solid pitching, and I think they do tonight. I'm thinking Dodgers, 5-1. I bet the under.
The Blue Jays are not blinking in this World Series as the normal Dodger intimidation games don't seem to be working. Toronto could easily have won these last two games at Chavez Ravine as the Jays have blocked out he Dodger Stadium factor, and LA can't be quite as comfy with Blake Snell on the mound after he was roughed up in Game One. Meanwhile, John Schneider is confident he can get five or so innings from Trey Yesevage, though the Blue Jays bullpen is again going to be asked to do some heavy lifting. Three of the four games already in this series have reached at least eight runs. Play Blue Jays-Dodgers Over
I really was hoping for a -1 option this time -- it's what I will play. I think last night's utterly crazy game showed why I don't like -1.5, especially when we don't have ghost runner nonsense in the playoffs. I don't believe there's any shot that career playoff superstar George Springer plays tonight for the Jays after leaving last night injured. And Bo Bichette can barely move. Can we even doubt Shohei Ohtani at all as he returns to the mound? Jays counterpart Shane Bieber has been quite average at best in these playoffs. Both bullpens are wrecked after 18 innings.
After last night's 18-inning 6-5 Dodger win, you have to wonder if this series is going to make it back to Toronto for Games 6 and 7. The Blue Jays have a losing record on the road (43-44) while the Dodgers have dominated at home all year at 58-30. The Blue Jays had victory within their grasp last night, and the bullpen let it slip away three times. Tonight, it's Shane Bieber, whom the Blue Jays have won three of his last four starts, but let's be clear, this is not the same Bieber from Cleveland. Shohei Ohtani has won his last two starts, and his last start was his best of all, pitching six innings, allowing only two hits, no runs, and 10 strikeouts.
I got to ride to hot hand, and that is Shohei Ohtani, who has five home runs in his last two home playoff games. He has eight home runs in 13 playoff games, giving the Dodgers 20 homers for the playoffs, which is four fewer than the Blue Jays, who lead baseball. This game's going to get over with the help of Shane Bieber and the Blue Jays tired bullpen. Blue Jays pitching has a 4.23 ERA in the postseason and has allowed an MLB-high 112 hits and an MLB-high 25 home runs. I think this game gets over.
There are plenty of ways to bet on baseball and plenty of sports betting terms to know when it comes to betting America's pastime. Every professional baseball team will play 162 regular season games, providing a wide range of baseball bets and MLB picks for you to consider. If you're new to the world of USA sports betting, you might find yourself overwhelmed by the sports betting terminology and number of sports betting sites available. Below are several baseball betting terms to help you make the best MLB picks this season.
Money line:The money line is the simplest and most common type of bet in baseball betting. You’re betting on one team to win outright. If a favorite is -150 on the money line, a $150 bet on that team to win outright would return $100. Conversely, if a team is a +200 underdog, a $100 bet would return $200.
Run line:The run line is a type of point spread bet in baseball. Instead of betting on which team will win the game, you bet on the margin of victory. One team is usually listed as a 1.5-run favorite. The other team is listed as a 1.5-run underdog, with corresponding odds attached to both MLB spreads.
Total (Over/Under):The Over/Under, also referred to as the total, is how many combined runs teams are expected to score in a baseball game. If the Over/Under is set at 8.5, then any combined score lower than that would make the Under cash. Nine or more runs is a win for the Over in your MLB picks.
Futures:Futures are long-term bets that won't resolve on the day they are placed. They are often placed preseason or in-season, and a popular baseball futures bet is picking which team will win the championship. Another is using the Over/Under, except in regards to a team's end-of-season win total. For example, the bar for the number of wins for New York’s pro baseball team could be 81.5, and a baseball futures bet is predicting if it will exceed that number.
Parlay:Parlays are simply the selection of two or more baseball picks on a single wager, where all outcomes must be correct in order for the bet to win. Although risky, parlays remain popular because of the potential to win large sums with minimal investments.
Prop (or proposition) bet:If you are looking for a fun way to bet on baseball, a prop bet is right for you. With a prop bet, you can wager on MLB picks like how many strikeouts a pitcher will record or whether a player will hit a home run.
First five innings (F5):A popular bet in baseball, first five innings (F5) is a wager on which team will be winning when five innings have been completed.
Team totals:The total, or Over/Under, usually refers to how many combined runs both teams score in a game, but team totals are popular as well. These are the MLB picks where a bettor will pick Over or Under on how many runs one team scores. If New York’s team total is set at 4.5, any runs total of five or higher would cash the Over, while anything fewer than five results in a win for the Under.
NRFI (No Runs First Inning):A popular bet for those who wager on baseball, NRFI stands for 'No Run First Inning.' The bet can be a bit risky considering both teams generally stack their best hitters towards the top of their lineups. The odds on NRFI bets are variable mostly depending on the quality of pitchers.
Player strikeouts:This bet refers to how many times a player will strike out in a single game. The Over/Under for total strikeouts is often 0.5 with adjusted odds for both wagers.
To hit a home run:If you think a player will hit a home run at any point in the game, you can place a bet, often times for a plus-money payout. You can also bet on who hits the first home run of the game.
To record a hit:Every player is assigned a total for hits in a single game, with bettors placing wagers on if they’ll exceed or fall short of the assigned total. For instance, if you place a bet on a player to record Over 1.5 hits, that player will need to finish with two hits for the bet to be a winner. If the player records just one hit, the bet is a loser.
Total bases:Another popular batter props bet is total bases. Bases are awarded on hits only, with the following scoring system: Single = 1 base, Double = 2 bases, Triple = 3 bases and Home Run = 4 bases.
To record an RBI:RBI stands for ‘Run Batted In.” Sportsbooks will offer an Over/Under on how many RBI a player will record in a single game.
1st inning total runs:An Over/Under is set on how many runs will be scored in the first inning. Oftentimes, Sportsbooks set the Over/Under for total runs scored in the first inning at 0.5 or 1.5.
Correct score:Correct score betting involves predicting the final score of a baseball game. These bets are typically hard to predict, which is why they’re often listed at plus-money odds. You can also predict the exact score of each inning at most sportsbooks.
Player performance doubles:This bet is similar to a parlay, meaning it involves two or more wagers. Player performance doubles often feature over/under starting pitcher strikeouts and a money line pick on which team will win outright.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)Q: Can I bet on a baseball game after it has begun?A: Yes, most sportsbooks offer live-betting, meaning you can place wagers on live-updated totals or even the outcome of the next at-bat.
Q: What happens if a baseball game is postponed?A: It will vary by sportsbook, but most will void and refund unless the game is rescheduled within a certain timeframe.
Q: What is a push in baseball sports betting?A: A push means the point spread or point total hits the exact number in which you bet. For example, if the Over/Under is eight runs, and the game finishes 5-3, the bet is a push and will be refunded.
Q: How do I know which team is the favorite?A: The favorite is usually listed with a negative number, while the underdog is listed with a positive number. For instance, if New York is favored to beat Boston, New York will be listed at -135 (risk $135 to win $100). As the underdog, Boston would be listed at +175 (risk $100 to $175).
There are plenty of ways to bet on baseball and plenty of sports betting terms to know when it comes to betting America's pastime. Every professional baseball team will play 162 regular season games, providing a wide range of baseball bets and MLB picks for you to consider. If you're new to the world of USA sports betting, you might find yourself overwhelmed by the sports betting terminology and number of sports betting sites available. Below are several baseball betting terms to help you make the best MLB picks this season.
Money line:The money line is the simplest and most common type of bet in baseball betting. You’re betting on one team to win outright. If a favorite is -150 on the money line, a $150 bet on that team to win outright would return $100. Conversely, if a team is a +200 underdog, a $100 bet would return $200.
Run line:The run line is a type of point spread bet in baseball. Instead of betting on which team will win the game, you bet on the margin of victory. One team is usually listed as a 1.5-run favorite. The other team is listed as a 1.5-run underdog, with corresponding odds attached to both MLB spreads.
Total (Over/Under):The Over/Under, also referred to as the total, is how many combined runs teams are expected to score in a baseball game. If the Over/Under is set at 8.5, then any combined score lower than that would make the Under cash. Nine or more runs is a win for the Over in your MLB picks.
Futures:Futures are long-term bets that won't resolve on the day they are placed. They are often placed preseason or in-season, and a popular baseball futures bet is picking which team will win the championship. Another is using the Over/Under, except in regards to a team's end-of-season win total. For example, the bar for the number of wins for New York’s pro baseball team could be 81.5, and a baseball futures bet is predicting if it will exceed that number.
Parlay:Parlays are simply the selection of two or more baseball picks on a single wager, where all outcomes must be correct in order for the bet to win. Although risky, parlays remain popular because of the potential to win large sums with minimal investments.
Prop (or proposition) bet:If you are looking for a fun way to bet on baseball, a prop bet is right for you. With a prop bet, you can wager on MLB picks like how many strikeouts a pitcher will record or whether a player will hit a home run.
First five innings (F5):A popular bet in baseball, first five innings (F5) is a wager on which team will be winning when five innings have been completed.
Team totals:The total, or Over/Under, usually refers to how many combined runs both teams score in a game, but team totals are popular as well. These are the MLB picks where a bettor will pick Over or Under on how many runs one team scores. If New York’s team total is set at 4.5, any runs total of five or higher would cash the Over, while anything fewer than five results in a win for the Under.
NRFI (No Runs First Inning):A popular bet for those who wager on baseball, NRFI stands for 'No Run First Inning.' The bet can be a bit risky considering both teams generally stack their best hitters towards the top of their lineups. The odds on NRFI bets are variable mostly depending on the quality of pitchers.
Player strikeouts:This bet refers to how many times a player will strike out in a single game. The Over/Under for total strikeouts is often 0.5 with adjusted odds for both wagers.
To hit a home run:If you think a player will hit a home run at any point in the game, you can place a bet, often times for a plus-money payout. You can also bet on who hits the first home run of the game.
To record a hit:Every player is assigned a total for hits in a single game, with bettors placing wagers on if they’ll exceed or fall short of the assigned total. For instance, if you place a bet on a player to record Over 1.5 hits, that player will need to finish with two hits for the bet to be a winner. If the player records just one hit, the bet is a loser.
Total bases:Another popular batter props bet is total bases. Bases are awarded on hits only, with the following scoring system: Single = 1 base, Double = 2 bases, Triple = 3 bases and Home Run = 4 bases.
To record an RBI:RBI stands for ‘Run Batted In.” Sportsbooks will offer an Over/Under on how many RBI a player will record in a single game.
1st inning total runs:An Over/Under is set on how many runs will be scored in the first inning. Oftentimes, Sportsbooks set the Over/Under for total runs scored in the first inning at 0.5 or 1.5.
Correct score:Correct score betting involves predicting the final score of a baseball game. These bets are typically hard to predict, which is why they’re often listed at plus-money odds. You can also predict the exact score of each inning at most sportsbooks.
Player performance doubles:This bet is similar to a parlay, meaning it involves two or more wagers. Player performance doubles often feature over/under starting pitcher strikeouts and a money line pick on which team will win outright.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)Q: Can I bet on a baseball game after it has begun?A: Yes, most sportsbooks offer live-betting, meaning you can place wagers on live-updated totals or even the outcome of the next at-bat.
Q: What happens if a baseball game is postponed?A: It will vary by sportsbook, but most will void and refund unless the game is rescheduled within a certain timeframe.
Q: What is a push in baseball sports betting?A: A push means the point spread or point total hits the exact number in which you bet. For example, if the Over/Under is eight runs, and the game finishes 5-3, the bet is a push and will be refunded.
Q: How do I know which team is the favorite?A: The favorite is usually listed with a negative number, while the underdog is listed with a positive number. For instance, if New York is favored to beat Boston, New York will be listed at -135 (risk $135 to win $100). As the underdog, Boston would be listed at +175 (risk $100 to $175).