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Utah is a different animal at home. This is also a very low total for a Ducks game, meaning that it will be a more defensive game. The Utes defense has not allowed a team to score more than 14 points on the at home this season. While Oregon has one of the most explosive offenses in the country, there's just something about Utah playing at home.
Utah's home winning streak is obviously worthy of praise, but none of its four such wins this season have been overly notable, including Week 1 against a Florida team that was injured and working with a new starting QB and defensive coordinator. Oregon is a different beast, and while you can argue Utah has the coaching advantage, the Ducks have the edge at most on-field positions. Oregon is balanced, efficient and successful offensively -- and I just don't see how Utah matches up over 60 minutes when it doesn't have an advantage in the trenches like it did against USC. Just got this at -6, so keep checking and see if you can get it without the hook before kickoff.
Both clubs feature top-10 scoring defenses, the impetus for this meager total. But the Ducks and their second-ranked offense (47 ppg) have shown they score on anyone, and the Utes have scored 34 in each of their past two outings. This should be more up tempo than the total suggests.
The Utah Utes have won 18 straight home games and are now underdogs against the Oregon Ducks. The Utes defense is elite and should be able to slow down the Ducks. This is the first time the Utes are home underdogs since 2018. Getting the Utes at home at almost 2/1 is amazing.
Utah's 6-1 start is an incredible story considering the injuries this team has dealt with all year, but beating USC and this Oregon team are different things. It's scary to go against the Utes at home, but the Ducks are favored by a touchdown for good reason.
For those of you who have followed along this season, I absolutely love picking the Utes at home. They have won 18 straight games in Salt Lake City and 27 straight with fans in attendance. The Ducks have lost six straight road/neutral site games outright against AP Top-25 teams. Somehow, some way the Utes' home magic continues in Week 9. Utah 27, Oregon 24.
Oregon is excellent, but the Utes have won 18 straight and 29 of 30 at home and they are getting 7? (Starting to drop -- I would have bet extra at +7.5.) The Ducks nearly lost at mediocre Texas Tech earlier this year, did lose at Washington and it's much tougher to win in Salt Lake City. Utah is holding opponents to just 78.0 rushing yards per game, which ranks fifth in the FBS. Oregon QB Bo Nix doesn't have a great track record on the road vs. ranked foes, and that was the Ducks' lone loss this year.