Miami might be the most disrespected ACC regular-season champion in NCAA Tournament history as the Canes were barely Round 1 favorites vs. Drake and haven't come close to being favored since. Yes, UM will be at a size disadvantage here, but it also was vs. Texas and the Canes' stellar backcourt took control. That could easily happen again. And maybe Huskies guard Jordan Hawkins is well less than 100 percent with the illness that kept him out of practice on Friday.

Lonely side to be here as I see my wonderful colleagues and their picks for this game. UConn has been the best, most consistent team throughout the tournament and none of this is anything negative at them. I'm just feeling this Miami crew. Last year the Elite Eight, this year the Final Four, the Hurricanes are not stopping to take pictures and celebrate just being involved. Miami has scored 74+ points in 14 of their last 15 games, averaging 80+ over their last five and aren't afraid to get out and run with the Huskies. Plus Norchad Omier leads all tournament players in rebounds. Miami has played through every crazy scenario this season already, the chaos is comfort.

The public appears all aboard on the Over -- for good reason. Both sides average 80-plus points and are ablaze offensively. Yet the teams' practices this week surely focused on defense. (UConn is good at it, Miami not so much). Playing in a cavernous building can inhibit outside shooting. The Huskies' marksman, Jordan Hawkins, is fighting a stomach ailment and could be limited. Hurricanes' games against foes with winning records have gone Under in six of the last eight.

Miami is on a roll and is 9-2 against-the-spread as an underdog. But I’m all-in on Connecticut, which is 8-1 ATS in neutral court games. The Huskies have won 10 of their last 11 (9-1 ATS), and everything they did when starting the season 14-0 is coming back. They're even better now, holding the last five teams to 37% shooting while making 48% of their shots. I’m on the Huskies to cover.

Miami has three elite shot-makers, an underrated big man, and the better coach. But this UConn team is a juggernaut. The Huskies have routed quality opponents throughout this NCAA Tournament, much like they did during their 14-0 start. Jordan Hawkins is going to be a lottery pick, while Andre Jackson is one of the nation's top defenders. And their size inside will be tough for the Hurricanes to deal with. While this matchup won't be a blowout, the Huskies' superiority should come through over 40 minutes. Lay the points.

The four teams in the Final Four are better than their seeds indicated all along, but UConn is still the best team of the group by far. While Miami is capable of beating anybody if it hits threes, UConn's size advantage will provide a lot of problems for the Hurricanes in this matchup. The way I see it, Miami either pulls off a slim upset or loses by double-digits, and the latter happens more often.

The number cannot catch up to how good UConn is playing right now. The Huskies have been favored by 9.5, 4, 3.5 and 2.5 in this tournament and won those games by 24, 15, 23 and 28 points. UConn has size inside to own the paint and length on the perimeter to disrupt Miami's stellar guards. If Jordan Hawkins gets hot from three I think we could see yet another double-digit win, but either way I see a game where the Huskies cover and advance to Monday night's championship game.