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Sat, Dec 246:00 pm UTCFirstEnergy Stadium
10 F
Track OnCBS Sports
New Orleans
Saints
NO
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-10
ATS7-10
O/U6-11-0
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Cleveland
Browns
CLE
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-10
ATS8-9
O/U8-8-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
7-10
Win /Loss
7-10
7-10
Spread
8-9
6-11-0
Over / Under
8-8-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NO @ CLE
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MONEYLINE
NO @ CLE
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OVER / UNDER
NO @ CLE
Subscribers Only

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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadCleveland -3 -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+800
18-9-1 in Last 28 NFL ATS Picks
+990
43-30 in Last 73 NO ATS Picks
Adam's Analysis:

Not a team that normally finds itself on my docket, the Browns are in a solid spot at home in windy conditions against a team facing devastating injury issues. While expectations are this will be a run-based game -- and it will be, giving the Browns an edge with Nick Chubb and Deshaun Watson -- we've seen before that teams will still try and throw in such situations. The Saints have almost no one to receive the ball, and they are a dome team playing in nearly impossible conditions. Alvin Kamara will get a heavy workload, but the Browns should be able to focus on stopping him. The hook is about to come on this line, so jump in now if interested.

Pick Made: Dec 24, 5:27 pm UTC on WHNJ
Point SpreadCleveland -3 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1130
59-43-5 in Last 107 NFL Picks
+435
40-32-3 in Last 75 NFL ATS Picks
+652
23-15-4 in Last 42 CLE ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

RB Nick Chubb's availability makes all the difference in the universe for the Browns. With high winds and temperatures in the low teens in the forecast, the ground game's importance is heightened. Look for Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson, who remains rusty since his return, to hand off all day to Chubb, who was not cleared until Thursday after missing two practices and ranks fourth for most NFL carries. The Saints cannot match the Browns' rushing attack, and their foremost pass-catcher, WR Chris Olive, is a scratch.

Pick Made: Dec 23, 2:07 am UTC on WHNJ
Money LineCleveland -155
LOSS
Unit1.0
+468
21-14 in Last 35 NFL Picks
+43
6-4 in Last 10 NO ML Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The forecast calls for 8-degree temperatures and 27-mph winds. The Browns will handle that better than a dome team, and they get a huge boost with the expected return of center Ethan Pocic. The injury report is worse for the Saints, who won't have their top two receivers. Look for Cleveland's ground game, plus Deshaun Watson's mobility, to be the difference in a low-scoring affair. With this line on Caesars at a field goal, I'll play the Browns on the moneyline at -155..

Pick Made: Dec 22, 11:54 pm UTC on WHNJ
Money LineCleveland -155
LOSS
Unit1.0
+500
18-8 in Last 26 NFL Picks
+370
33-17 in Last 50 NFL ML Picks
+543
12-5 in Last 17 NO ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I meant to pick this earlier at -2.5 and thought I did, but guess I forgot to hit the button. Now it's -3. Oh well. Nick Chubb practiced today and I expect a big game against a Saints defense that has struggled against the run. Neither QB probably will be able to throw much in mega-windy conditions, but Andy Dalton will be without Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate Chris Olave. No receptions props yet for Saints RB Alvin Kamara, but I'll surely be going over that.

Pick Made: Dec 22, 9:52 pm UTC on WHNJ
Over / UnderUnder 32.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+580
19-12 in Last 31 NFL O/U Picks
+590
6-1 in Last 7 CLE O/U Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

With about 48 hours left until kickoff, it appears the extremely windy conditions are going to hold. The direction of the wind (parallel with stadium) has likely caused this total to tick up, but we had similar conditions for the awful Patriots-Bills wind game in 2021 and those teams combined for less than 500 yards in a 14-10 final. The Patriots abandoned the pass entirely there, and I don't know that either of these QBs should deviate from that plan. With how these two offenses have played lately, they might not have made it to 33 points in perfect weather; the Saints average 10.6 points outdoors, while the Browns offense has two TDs in three games with Deshaun Watson.

Pick Made: Dec 22, 3:42 pm UTC on WHNJ
Point SpreadNew Orleans +3 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1320
90-69-6 in Last 165 NFL ATS Picks
+920
44-33-4 in Last 81 CLE ATS Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

This game is on track to be played in ugly conditions where running the ball is paramount, which seems to favor Cleveland. But the Browns' rush defense has been awful, and Nick Chubb is managing a foot injury. On the other side, the Saints are an indoor team that has struggled on the road this season, but they could be perfectly situated to handle this weather with Taysom Hill serving as a dual threat QB several times per game this season. I expect a heavy dose of Hill here and the Saints offense to not completely fall apart in the extreme conditions. There's a better chance of this game landing on 1 or 2 with the kicking game restricted as well, so I'll take the points in an extremely low-scoring game.

Pick Made: Dec 20, 6:36 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

New Orleans Saints
Monday, Jan 06, 2025
Avatar
QB
Derek Carr
HandQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Alvin Kamara
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Pete Werner
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Willie Gay Jr.
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Kendre Miller
ConcussionQuestionable
Sunday, Jan 05, 2025
Avatar
FS
Tyrann Mathieu
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
TE
Foster Moreau
KneeQuestionable
Cleveland Browns
Monday, Jan 06, 2025
Avatar
MLB
Jordan Hicks
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
QB
Jameis Winston
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Dalvin Tomlinson
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Denzel Ward
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
OLB
Devin Bush
ThighQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Michael Woods II
KneeQuestionable
Saturday, Jan 04, 2025
Avatar
RB
John Kelly
GroinQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Mike Ford
ForearmQuestionable
Avatar
CB
Martin Emerson
AnkleQuestionable
Avatar
DT
Michael Hall Jr.
KneeQuestionable
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