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Sun, Dec 186:00 pm UTCCaesars Superdome
Track OnCBS Sports
Atlanta
Falcons
ATL
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-10
ATS9-8
O/U7-10-0
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
New Orleans
Saints
NO
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-10
ATS7-10
O/U6-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
7-10
Win /Loss
7-10
9-8
Spread
7-10
7-10-0
Over / Under
6-11-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
ATL @ NO
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MONEYLINE
ATL @ NO
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OVER / UNDER
ATL @ NO
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineNew Orleans -235
WIN
Unit1.0
+500
18-8 in Last 26 NFL Sides Picks
+370
33-17 in Last 50 NFL ML Picks
+543
12-5 in Last 17 NO ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Shoot, this just jumped up from -210. Other than Marshon Lattimore, the Saints are about as healthy as they have been all year. Maybe Desmond Ridder is the next Jalen Hurts, but asking a third-round rookie QB to win his first career start on the road is a lot. I do like Ridder over 23.5 rushing yards, though. After starting the season 6-0 ATS, the Falcons are 1-6 ATS over their past seven contests and 0-4 ATS over their previous four as underdogs. I'm taking the spread out of play because I don't trust Andy Dalton that much.

Pick Made: Dec 18, 4:49 pm UTC on WHNJ
Avatar
Total Rushing YardsDesmond Ridder Over 23.5 Total Rushing Yards -129
WIN
Unit1.0
+67
2-1 in Last 3 NFL Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

The Desmond Ridder Era begins in Atlanta, and he definitely was a threat to run at the University of Cincinnati. In the preseason, he had eight carries for 58 yards. He may struggle to throw today so I'd expect him to take off a handful of times. When Atlanta faced New Orleans in Week 1, Marcus Mariota had 72 yards on 12 carries. Don't expect that for Ridder but no reason he can't do about half.

Pick Made: Dec 18, 2:01 pm UTC on WHNJ
Point SpreadAtlanta +4 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+310
22-17-1 in Last 40 NFL ATS Picks
+290
4-1 in Last 5 ATL ATS Picks
Brett's Analysis:

The Falcons rank higher in overall DVOA than the Saints (16th to 22nd), Atlanta has the better overall record and the better ATS mark , the first meeting between these teams was decided by a point … and now New Orleans is favored by four. Part of the reason is that rookie Desmond Ridder is making his first start, but that’s probably not a bad thing. The Falcons can run it; what they haven’t been able to do is throw. So it’s unlikely they’ll see much downgrade in that area, but it’s entirely possible they’ll get an uptick, especially with the Saints not having tape on Ridder to prepare. Even if there's no uptick, this is still a division game between two fairly even teams. Grab the four points.

Pick Made: Dec 18, 5:17 am UTC on WHNJ
Point SpreadNew Orleans -4 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+468
21-14 in Last 35 NFL Picks
+100
9-7 in Last 16 NFL ATS Picks
+1195
43-28-2 in Last 73 ATL ATS Picks
Larry's Analysis:

The Saints have faced five difficult defenses in a row and now they get to play the Falcons, who rank 28th in yards per play allowed (5.8). Atlanta rookie QB Desmond Ridder is an exciting prospect who showed flashes in the preseason. But making his first start on the road in the Caesars Superdome? Mistakes should follow: He led the NFL in the preseason in turnover-worthy play percentage under pressure. Saints top corner Marshon Lattimore (abdomen) could return Sunday after missing eight straight games. Lay the points.

Pick Made: Dec 15, 2:57 am UTC on WHNJ
Over / UnderUnder 43 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1130
59-43-5 in Last 107 NFL Picks
+1000
21-10-1 in Last 32 NFL O/U Picks
+442
11-6 in Last 17 ATL O/U Picks
Mike's Analysis:

In their bye week, the Falcons looked to the future and moved from veteran QB Marcus Mariotta to rookie Desmond Ridder. In their bye week, the Saints chose to stick with ultra-veteran Andy Dalton, which hints that Jameis Winston is not part of their future. The past two Atlanta games have stopped at 32 and 35 points. Five of the last half-dozen for New Orleans have landed below this total -- four of them much lower (24, 30, 13, 33). With Ridder learning the ropes and Dalton creeping toward retirement, this game has "30s" written all over it.

Pick Made: Dec 14, 10:28 pm UTC on WHNJ
Over / UnderOver 43 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+580
19-12 in Last 31 NFL O/U Picks
+290
15-12-2 in Last 29 ATL O/U Picks
R.J.'s Analysis:

The Falcons are turning to Desmond Ridder, and this type of QB change for performance reasons has a better chance of being neutral or positive than negative. They'll also have two weeks to integrate new wrinkles into the offense, which makes things tougher on preparation for the Saints defense. New Orleans has the lowest interception rate in the league, so this could be a sneakily good spot for Ridder's debut, even on the road. The Saints offense has been pretty ugly recently but has also faced the Ravens, Steelers, Rams, 49ers and Bucs in the last five games; they should have more success here. Both teams have been reliable Unders lately thanks to tougher defensive matchups, giving us a juicy number.

Pick Made: Dec 13, 1:51 am UTC on WHNJ

Best Prop Picks

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Atlanta Falcons
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Avatar
DB
Micah Abernathy
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Darnell Mooney
ShoulderQuestionable
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K
Younghoe Koo
HipQuestionable
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LB
Troy Andersen
KneeQuestionable
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DE
Brandon Dorlus
AbdomenQuestionable
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LB
JD Bertrand
EyeQuestionable
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RB
Jase McClellan
KneeQuestionable
Monday, Feb 10, 2025
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LB
Bralen Trice
Knee - ACLQuestionable
New Orleans Saints
Thursday, May 01, 2025
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RB
Alvin Kamara
GroinQuestionable
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TE
Foster Moreau
KneeQuestionable
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C
Erik McCoy
ElbowQuestionable
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WR
Rashid Shaheed
Knee - MeniscusQuestionable
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LB
D'Marco Jackson
AnkleQuestionable
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LB
Pete Werner
ConcussionQuestionable
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OG
Nick Saldiveri
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
WR
Chris Olave
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
RB
Kendre Miller
ConcussionQuestionable
Avatar
DB
Rejzohn Wright
UndisclosedQuestionable
Friday, Apr 11, 2025
Avatar
QB
Derek Carr
ShoulderQuestionable
Tuesday, Feb 11, 2025
Avatar
QB
Taysom Hill
Knee - ACLQuestionable
Avatar
LB
Jaylan Ford
Lower LegQuestionable

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
7-6
5-8
38%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
3-3
3-3
50%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
60%
6-4
2-2
50%
When Spread was +3 to +6
SPREAD
When Spread was -6 to -3
67%
2-1
1-1
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
60%
3-2
2-0
100%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <40% of Games
40%
2-3
2-3
40%
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 21 to 25 PPG
60%
3-2
2-4
33%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
100%
2-0
1-1
50%
vs NO
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
100%
1-0
0-1
0%
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