At some point, the Packers are going to break out of their funk and bounce back. It’s just not going to be against this Cowboys defense, which has a huge advantage up front. Green Bay continues to be hampered by injured entering this game, and Dallas has been lights out with Dak Prescott back. Ezekiel Elliott being sidelined has only opened up Tony Pollard, which many have been waiting to see for years. Plus, the Packers struggle to stop the run. The Cowboys are coming off the bye, meaning they are rested for a road trip, and they have advantages in all three phases of the game. This is a point lower than it opened, and it’s doubtful to hit a field goal, so let's play it with the hook. Not that we’ll need it.

The Cowboys are 6-1 in their last seven games both straight up and against the spread, while the Packers have lost five in a row straight up and gone 1-6 ATS in their last seven. The main driving force behind Dallas' success has been its attacking defense, but the balanced offense racked up 49 points last week against Chicago. It's all clicking right now for the Cowboys, and I'm riding with them.

When you first see this matchup it screams Cowboys...then it sinks in that it IS Aaron Rodgers on the other side of the ball and you begin to question yourself. Don't. With a banged up Green Bay offensive line, injured depth chart at running back and no Rashan Gary it would take some huge smoke and mirrors for the Packers to pull this one off. Aaron Rodgers' offense is 5-yards and in due to the fact of previously mentioned offensive line issues coupled with a lack of skill position talent doubled on the outsides. Quite frankly Dallas is better at almost every positional comparison, especially their defensive front and secondary. The players also know this is a must win for Mike McCarthy personally, they get the job done.

This is a mismatch up front. The Packers' offensive struggles have. been well-documented, but now Green Bay will be forced to play without top pass rusher Rashan Gary, top linebacker DeVondre Campbell and No. 2 corner Eric Stokes due to injury. The Cowboys are off a bye and bring a defense that ranks third in points allowed (16.6) and first in sacks (33). Romeo Doubs' absence hurts Green Bay's already weak passing attack. Lay the points.

We've missed the best of the opening number of +5, but +4.5 is still widely available and finding it is advisable. But this aligns as a nice ATS spot for Aaron Rodgers and friends following their embarrassing loss to the Lions last week. For all their faults, the Packers showed an improved defense that allowed just 254 yards to Detroit last week. Green Bay might not snap its five-game losing skid Sunday, but Rodgers should give an inspired performance and the outcome should land on a short key number either way.