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The Giants have a few pass-catchers listed as questionable for this matchup, but they might be able to beat this bad Falcons defense with Plaxico Burress and Ike Hilliard. And now this defense will be without former first-round pick A.J. Terrell at corner, so how bad is his backup? Also sidelined for Atlanta: starting receiver Russell Gage, making the passing game even easier to defend without much take attention away from Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts. Daniel Jones should be able to score plenty on this defense, and the Falcons haven't proven they can keep up. The line looks like it wants to tip under 3, so hopefully you'll be able to find a Giants -2.5 on this one.
This is a battle of two 0-2 teams with each offense showing signs of turning things around. But the Falcons defense has me choosing the Giants. New York moved the ball well against Washington’s defense last week. The Giants had extra time to study the Atlanta defense this week, and I expect them to expose the many weaknesses. Giants to cover.
I realize the Giants have been ATS trash at home for 3 years or so, but the Falcons look like one of the three-worst teams in the NFL thus far and will be without top cornerback AJ Terrell and starting wideout Russell Gage. New York is on extra rest and is expecting tight end Evan Engram to play for the first time this season. Always dangerous to back turnover-prone Daniel Jones, but Atlanta has no pass rush. This spread has bobbed back-and-forth between 3 and 2.5 so I'll take 2.5 while it's there.
Maybe you're the type of person willing to trust Daniel Jones as a favorite in an NFL game, but I can't live that life. It's a small sample size because the Giants stink, but they're only 2-4 ATS when favored with Jones as a starter, and both of those covers came against Washington. The same Washington that is responsible for five of Jones' nine wins overall as a starter. It isn't fun to bet the Falcons, but it's the right play.