And here we go! Was waiting on this to drop under 3 just like Cardinals-Titans (which isn't looking great right now, but the logic was sound). Teddy Bridgewater is absolute money in his career ATS on the road. Denver's defense should be terrific (Bradley Chubb will not play today, so that does hurt a little), while most of the Giants' skill position players barely participated in training camp because of injury. New York has been the worst ATS home team in the NFL over the past three seasons. I don't love this as much as I did early in the week because of Chubb being out, but I'm pretty confident Broncos can still win by 3.

Since the Peyton Manning era, the Broncos have never won a season opener by more than three points. That should change in 2021 with veteran QB Teddy Bridgewater. The former first-round draft pick has shown a knack for making the safe plays and putting his team in winning positions his entire career. Back Denver as the Giants continue to be a team one can fade at home.

While this may be a good test for the Giants, it is not a good matchup for them. The Broncos are explosive on the perimeter, and their ability to apply pressure almost certainly will disrupt any rhythm New York QB Daniel Jones builds. We don't know how much of RB Saquon Barkley we'll see in this game, but what we do know is that the Giants can't rely solely on Jones to help them beat Denver.

I feel like I'm going to be on a lot of Giants Unders this year, thanks to their quality defense and questions on offense, particularly in the trenches. I also think people will be looking to play Unders in Broncos games too, with Teddy Bridgewater belonging to the lower tier of NFL starting QBs and Von Miller back in action after missing last season. Here, we get those two teams playing each other, and the Giants have had to deal with injured or recovering skill players all throughout the preseason. This game has "first team to 20 wins" written all over it.