There's a lot of pessimism about the Cowboys after the way they've started, but that comeback against the Falcons last week -- at least for me -- was the start of the team finding itself under coach Mike McCarthy. Nothing the Seahawks have done to this point has surprised me -- I expected them to be 2-0 -- whereas I did think the Cowboys would beat the Rams in Week 1. Look for CeeDee Lamb to have a big day for Dallas as Dak Prescott spreads the ball around. Ezekiel Elliott will chew up the clock and keep the ball out of Russell Wilson's hands. A Cowboys outright win would not surprise me, but I'm getting nearly a touchdown for a team with a better defense, so I'll take it.

I have Dallas' defense rated higher than Seattle's, and so far this year, the Seahawks are allowing 6.6 yards per play to Dallas' 5.6. Russell Wilson has been great, but he has done so against the 21st- and 32nd-ranked defenses in the NFL. The Cowboys' offense will have a big day against Seattle's defense. Over the last five years, teams that start 0-2 ATS are 22-7 ATS in Week 3, and Dallas is 0-2 ATS.

All of the talk was about how great Russell Wilson was last week against the Patriots. He was fantastic. However, the Seattle defense really wasn't very good against a New England team that has a significantly weaker receiving group, and a much weaker backfield. The Dallas offensive line will be the difference in this game as they provide running room for Zeke, and enough time for Dak to find Cooper, Gallup, Lamb and Schultz. I make Seattle -2.9 in this game so I'm taking the points with Dallas.

The Seahawks made Cam Newton look like it was 2015 again. He was great, but all his receivers were open often. Dallas has much quicker wideouts, and Dak Prescott has done a great job finding them. The Cowboys will score often, and I believe the Seahawks will be chasing for most of the game. Dallas' problems are taking care of the ball and horrible calls by head coach Mike McCarthy. If he just called a vanilla plan on fourth downs they would be 2-0. Hopefully, it’s a lesson learned. Cowboys to cover.

The Cowboys have averaged a 29.5-28.5 score through two games, allowing 802 yards. The Seahawks' average score is 36.5-27.5 with the NFL's worst defense allowing 970 total yards through two wins and two covers. The way the total points have been soaring through two weeks with no crowds and bad tackling, the offenses are loose like in a practice game. The total is still low, I’m on the Over.

I think the Cowboys have looked pretty good despite being 0-2 ATS, a trend that's worth backing in Week 3. They outplayed the Falcons considerably last week but were done in by fumbles and fake punts. Mike McCarthy has proven himself to be a smart coach, and smart coaches shouldn't be catching a bunch of points. The Seahawks look like the NFC's best team through two weeks but are bound to slow down at some point. I don't think they have the pass-rush talent to challenge a beat-up Dallas O-line that actually played pretty well last week. Also, we get Dak Prescott +5, and he can get us through the backdoor vs. anyone right now.

This total is pure galloping inflation. Sure, Seattle is averaging 36.5 points, and its defense is dead-last in yards allowed. Yes, Dallas just tagged 40 on Atlanta. Yet betting totals hardly ever reach this lofty figure. Besides, the Cowboys deployed two undrafted OTs as replacements for injured starters, and at least one will be missing again. Enough analysis. Always go Under if the total hits the ol’ highway speed limit.