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Thu, Apr 0311:00 pm UTCWells Fargo Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Milwaukee
Bucks
MIL
Last 5 ATS
W/L43-34
ATS38-38
O/U37-32-0
FINAL SCORE
126
-
113
Philadelphia
76ers
PHI
Last 5 ATS
W/L23-55
ATS26-51
O/U42-32-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
43-34
Win /Loss
23-55
38-38
Spread
26-51
37-32-0
Over / Under
42-32-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIL @ PHI
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MONEYLINE
MIL @ PHI
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OVER / UNDER
MIL @ PHI
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71%
PUBLIC
29%
MONEY
90%
PUBLIC
10%
MONEY
Over86%
PUBLIC
Under14%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

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Total Points + Assists + ReboundsRyan Rollins Over 19.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -128
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1681
34-14 in Last 48 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Starting due to Damian Lillard's absence, Ryan Rollins continues to deliver, having scored 17-plus in three of his last four. He has an all-around game that meshes well with Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo. Thursday, Rollins has a great matchup against the 76ers, who are 26th in defensive rating. They've been even worse (29th) over the past 10 games. Look for Rollins to record at least 20 combined points, assists and rebounds.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 9:03 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadMilwaukee -11.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+663
10-3 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
+1049
26-14 in Last 40 PHI ATS Picks
Zack's Analysis:

Right now it is very uncommon not to see a double digit spread in the NBA. As the season winds down there is a big disparity in level of competition. The Philadelphia 76ers were one of the first teams to go down this path, and Milwaukee has adjusted to being without Damian Lillard. Take the Bucks to cruise against the 76ers.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 5:46 pm UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadMilwaukee -11.5 -114
WIN
Unit1.0
+1948
80-55-1 in Last 136 NBA Picks
+1234
31-17 in Last 48 NBA ATS Picks
+405
15-10 in Last 25 MIL ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

A few might have timed it right with the Sixers +14.5 on Tuesday vs. the Knicks. Still, it's been a wretched run for a wretched team that hasn't been within single digits its last three or five of its last six losses, past of a longer nine-game skid. No Embiid, Maxey, George, Lowry, or Oubre, either, leaving a skeleton crew for Nick Nurse. Meanwhile the Bucks finally shook from their own skid in Tuesday's explosive win vs. Phoenix when Giannis scored 37, but the big story was a franchise-record 68.9% FG accuracy (wow!). Dame Lillard remains out, but Giannis should be a go, and note Brook Lopez (23 points) and Ryan Rollins (22) are also off of big games vs. the Suns. Play Bucks

Pick Made: Apr 03, 5:36 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total PointsGiannis Antetokounmpo Over 30.5 Total Points -118
WIN
Unit1.0
+2329.5
123-82 in Last 205 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Locking this prop in as I expect it to close around 31.5 or even 32.5. This is a must win game for Giannis and company and while the Sixers are essentially a G League roster, their opponents are averaging over 125 PPG over their last 10 games. Giannis should have his way in this matchup and he’s more than capable of getting home in a blowout. Giannis has scored 30+ in five consecutive games.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 5:22 am UTC on Caesars
Total Away PointsMilwaukee Over 119.5 Total Pts -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+1210
19-6 in Last 25 NBA Team Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Bucks' defense is broken and they seem to understand that their playoff push requires them to hang 120 on people. Luckily for them, the Sixers are even less interested in defending that MIL is. Bucks have scored 257 in their last 2 games. Philly has allowed 118+ in 8 of the last 10, ranking 30th in D rating in that span. Opponents are scoring 124.3/G against them and Sixers rank 30th in 3-point D, 29th in opponent FG%, and 28th in opponent rebounds allowed in that span. If the three ball is falling for the Sixers and they try a little offensively, the Bucks might end up going for 130 here. It really is that bad.

Pick Made: Apr 03, 2:50 am UTC on BetMGM

Best Prop Picks

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74 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for K. Kuzma, R. Rollins, J. Butler, L. Walker IV and 70 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks
Sunday, Apr 06, 2025
Avatar
SG
Pat Connaughton
AnkleOut
Avatar
PF
Giannis Antetokounmpo
ShoulderOut
Friday, Apr 04, 2025
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PG
Damian Lillard
CalfOut
Wednesday, Mar 19, 2025
Avatar
C
Jericho Sims
ThumbOut
Philadelphia 76ers
Sunday, Apr 06, 2025
Avatar
PG
Kyle Lowry
HipQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Justin Edwards
RibsQuestionable
Avatar
C
Andre Drummond
ToeOut
Avatar
SG
Kelly Oubre Jr.
KneeOut
Avatar
PF
Guerschon Yabusele
PersonalOut
Thursday, Apr 03, 2025
Avatar
PG
Tyrese Maxey
FingerOfs
Monday, Mar 17, 2025
Avatar
SF
Paul George
GroinOfs
Friday, Feb 28, 2025
Avatar
C
Joel Embiid
KneeOfs
Thursday, Feb 27, 2025
Avatar
SF
Eric Gordon
WristOfs
Thursday, Jan 09, 2025
Avatar
SG
Jared McCain
KneeOfs

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
49%
37-38-1
26-50
34%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
17-20
11-26
29%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
48%
25-27-1
20-30
40%
When Spread was -13 to -10
SPREAD
When Spread was +10 to +13
57%
4-3
3-6
33%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
38%
8-13
10-11
47%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
46%
12-14-1
12-11
52%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
49%
36-37-1
26-48
35%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
54%
34-28
20-41
32%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIL
100%
3-0
0-3
0%
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