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Jaden McDaniels is coming off a season best 27 point performance in his last outing against the Mavericks on Wednesday. This line is inflated as a result considering McDaniels averages approximately 15.1 PRA on the season. I expect him to come back down to earth against Denver. I'd play this down to 19.5.
The Nuggets have caught fire, winning eight of their last nine games. Four of those wins came on the road. All eight of those wins came by at least nine points. The Timberwolves are just 4-15-1 ATS at home this season and could play this game without Anthony Edwards, who is listed as questionable with an illness. Donte DiVincenzo (toe) has already been ruled out. If Edwards is sidelined, this could get ugly in a hurry. Even if he plays, I like the surging Nuggets to cover.
Nuggets come into Saturday's matchup hot, winning four straight and and going 12-3 both SU and ATS in their last 15 games. Denver has also won and covered six straight road games as the team is coming into form after a slow start. Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable for Saturday with an illness. Even if Ant-Man plays, it sounds like he won't be 100%. Good spot to back the red-hot Nuggets.
These teams are playing vastly different ball as they meet for a playoff rematch. Denver lost by 3 when they met in Nov but a lot has changed since then. Denver is 12-3 in its last 15 games, winning 6 straight on the road and MIN is 6-7 in the last 13, losing 3 straight at home. Nuggets are 10-5 as a road favorite and Wolves are 2-3 in the division and 0-2 as a home dog. The Joker is playing unreal ball, Nuggets offense has transformed since their first meeting and they won 2 of 3 at MIN in the playoff meeting.