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Thomas Casale

Casale on Campus

A frequent guest on national radio and TV shows to discuss college sports, Tom started playing football sheets at 8 years old when his dad was the local bookie. He's been betting -- and winning -- for more than 30 years. Tom sets his own lines for each game, then looks at the metrics to see where he can find an edge in the number. Over the past three college basketball seasons, Tom is 402-247 (62 percent) -- all publicly documented. He joined SportsLine in early 2024 and has gone 89-53 in college basketball, returning $2,968 to $100 players. When the SportsLine Discord launched in November 2024, Tom became a constant presence there, releasing plays early and answering questions from subscribers. He released 19 CBB plays exclusively in the Discord, nailing 14 of them for a profit of 8.12 units. You can find his bets only on SportsLine and in the SportsLine Discord. In addition, Tom produces in-depth analysis on college basketball and college football that goes way beyond game picks. He is a frequent guest on CBS Sports HQ and "Early Edge." Casale previously worked for the Action Network and theScore as an editor and analyst. He also co-hosted the BetQL U college basketball podcast with Eli Hershkovich. Always looking to beat the odds, Thomas turned his two sons into long snappers so they can get scholarships and attend college for free. For Thomas Casale media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.

@TheTomCasale
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
+26
RECORD: 3-2-0
+26
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks

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Thomas's Past Picks

Apr 16 2025, 12:05 am UTC
League
L.A. Angels
0
@ Texas
4
+300
3-0 in Last 3 MLB Picks
Analysis:

Texas returns home after a six game road trip where the Rangers are 6-1 this season. Meanwhile, the Angels are playing their seventh straight road game and have to face the Tyler Mahle, who sports an impressive 1.32 ERA over 13.2 innings of work this season. Yusei Kikuchi has yet to pitch more than 6.0 innings this season and the Rangers should be able to exploit an Angels bullpen that has the worst ERA in the American League (6.29).

Pick Made: Tue 3:24 pm UTC on FanDuel
Apr 15 2025, 11:05 pm UTC
League
Boston
7
@ Tampa Bay
4
Analysis:

Getting through 6.0 innings at Steinbrenner Field is no easy task with the way the ball travels there. Ryan Pepiot has gone under this total in two of three. The one over was by half an out when he pitched 6.0 innings against the awful Rockies. He's allowed 17 hits and seven runs over 16 innings this season. I don't see Pepiot making it through 6.0 innings tonight in what could be a high-scoring game.

Pick Made: Tue 4:24 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 15 2025, 10:45 pm UTC
League
San Francisco
4
@ Philadelphia
6
Analysis:

This total feels low for Justin Verlander against the Phillies' lineup. The veteran has gone over this number in all three starts against the light hitting Reds and Mariners. Philadelphia's batting average goes up 37 points at home and I think they get to five hits Tuesday vs. Verlander.

Pick Made: Tue 4:12 pm UTC on Caesars
Apr 12 2025, 7:05 pm UTC
League
San Francisco
4
@ N.Y. Yankees
8
Analysis:

The Yankees' bats were MIA on Friday night. I expect them to get back to normal Saturday against Jordan Hicks. Even if Hicks pitches well, he rarely goes more than 6.0 innings, so look for the Giants to use multiple arms in this game. Judge has recorded a hit in seven of his last nine games. He's also hit two homers in six at-bats against Hicks. I'm splitting this up with a half unit on a hit and a half unit on a home run for Judge.

Pick Made: Apr 12, 2:53 am UTC on FanDuel
Apr 12 2025, 7:05 pm UTC
League
San Francisco
4
@ N.Y. Yankees
8
Analysis:

Aaron Judge has faced Jordan Hicks just six times but he's homered twice off him. I'm going to take a shot he continues to have success on Saturday. I put a half unit on Judge to get a hit and a half unit on a homer. Hopefully we kill two birds with one stone. Judge hasn't homered since April 4. To quote legendary manager Lou Brown in Major League, "I got a hunch he's due."

Pick Made: Apr 12, 3:01 am UTC on FanDuel
Apr 11 2025, 11:05 pm UTC
League
San Francisco
9
@ N.Y. Yankees
1
Analysis:

This total feels a little low for Robbie Ray on Friday. Ray has given up four and three hits in his first two starts. However, the Yankees are batting .284 versus left-handed pitching this season. New York has 55 hits and scored 40 runs against lefties, compared to 57 hits and 42 runs vs. right handers. Those numbers are almost identical, despite the Yankees recording 32 fewer at bats against left handers. NY's batting average is also 25 points higher at home than on the road. I like this matchup for the Yankees to put up at least four hits.

Pick Made: Apr 11, 6:42 am UTC on DraftKings
Apr 09 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
L.A. Lakers
112
@ Dallas
97
+26
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

All the attention will be on Luka Doncic tonight but don't forget about Austin Reaves. Reaves has gone over 24.5 points+assists in 13 of his last 16 games. The addition of Luka hasn't hurt Reaves, who is averaging 21.3 points and 4.8 assists since the Lakers stole Doncic from Dallas. In a game that should be played at a faster pace, I like Reaves' recent trend of hitting the over on this total to continue.

Pick Made: Apr 09, 4:20 pm UTC on DraftKings
Apr 09 2025, 8:05 pm UTC
League
L.A. Dodgers
6
@ Washington
5
+300
3-0 in Last 3 MLB Picks
Analysis:

Landon Knack vs. Jake Irvin. I'm jumping on this game early because I make it closer to -190 and expect the odds to go up. The Dodgers have had success against Irvin, sporting an average of .333 and OPS of .886 in 59 career at-bats. Knack should have a strong outing against a Nats lineup that struck out 97 times heading into Tuesday. If the game goes to the bullpens, LA has a big edge. Washington has the second-highest bullpen ERA in the NL. I'll back the Dodgers here coming off three straight losses for a half unit.

Pick Made: Apr 08, 10:21 pm UTC on FanDuel
Apr 09 2025, 2:30 am UTC
League
San Antonio
117
@ L.A. Clippers
122
+26
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Ivica Zubac has scored at least 17 points in 15 of his last 20 games. I like that trend to continue tonight against a Spurs team that allows the second-most points to centers in the NBA. The last time Zubac faced SA he went for 21 points and 22 rebounds. This is a big game for the Clippers. It sounds like Kawhi Leonard will play but he is dealing with a right knee injury. Look for Zubac to pick up the scoring slack in a must-win game for playoff seeding.

Pick Made: Apr 09, 12:40 am UTC on FanDuel
Apr 08 2025, 10:45 pm UTC
League
L.A. Dodgers
2
@ Washington
8
+300
3-0 in Last 3 MLB Picks
Analysis:

Justin Wrobleski vs. Brad Lord. This is an interesting matchup between two spot starters. However, I give the Dodgers a big edge even with the unproven Wrobleski on the mound. The young lefty did start six games last season and looked good in spring training. The key for me is Washington has been awful against left-handed pitching early in the year. They're hitting just .210 with 43 strikeouts in 105 at-bats. Lord hasn't pitched over one inning yet this season and now faces a Dodgers lineup that is coming off two straight losses. I expect LA to get to Lord early and make the Nats turn to their suspect bullpen with an ERA of 6.42. I'll lay it with the Dodgers for a half unit.

Pick Made: Apr 08, 5:18 am UTC on FanDuel
Apr 08 2025, 8:10 pm UTC
League
Miami
5
@ N.Y. Mets
10
+380
5-1 in Last 6 MLB Game Props Picks
Analysis:

Connor Gillispie vs. Clay Holmes. This is a pure weather play for a half unit. I live three hours from NYC and it's so windy I can't open the door. It looks like there is similar weather conditions in NYC with winds around 30 mph. These two pitchers just faced off on on April 2. Gillispie allowed one run over 5.0 innings, while Holmes gave up two in 4.2 innings of work. BetRivers still had a 4.5. Good at 4 or 4.5.

Pick Made: Apr 08, 3:55 pm UTC on BetRivers
Apr 08 2025, 1:40 am UTC
League
Baltimore
5
@ Arizona
1
+380
5-1 in Last 6 MLB Game Props Picks
Analysis:

Zach Eflin vs. Zac Gallen. Good pitching matchup here between the two Zach/Zac's. Eflin has gone 6.0 innings in each of his two starts and has had success vs. the current Diamondbacks' lineup in a limited sample size, holding them to a .176 average in 51 career at-bats. Gallen pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing and threw 101 pitches. I think we see both pitchers go past 5.0 innings with each holding the opposing lineup in check.

Pick Made: Apr 07, 3:43 pm UTC on BetMGM
Apr 08 2025, 12:50 am UTC
League
University of Florida
65
@ University of Houston
63
Analysis:

Half Unit. Let's make the last pick of the season interesting by taking an over with Houston. I rate Duke's defense 10 spots higher than Florida. The Gators are good defensively, although their pace allows for some easy baskets. Florida has given up over 70 points in 11 of its last 12 games. The one time they didn't, Norfolk State scored 69. No one will mistake the Cougars for Alabama but they do look to shoot threes in transition when the opportunity is there. Houston topped this number in games against Alabama, Arizona, BYU (twice) and Gonzaga - teams that like to speed up the tempo. I'll take a shot they get to 71 here. Thank you for following my CBB plays this season!

Pick Made: Apr 07, 1:37 am UTC on BetMGM
Apr 07 2025, 11:30 pm UTC
League
Philadelphia
105
@ Miami
117
+26
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Analysis:

Walker is getting more playing time with Tyrese Maxey and Justin Edwards both out for the Sixers. He has topped 30 minutes in three of his last four games. Walker has at least four assists in four straight games. He has gone over this total in six straight when he plays at least 28 minutes. Given the current state of the Sixers, I expect Walker to play 28+ minutes again tonight.

Pick Made: Apr 07, 3:54 pm UTC on BetMGM
Apr 06 2025, 8:05 pm UTC
League
Seattle
4
@ San Francisco
5
+380
5-1 in Last 6 MLB Game Props Picks
Analysis:

Bryan Woo vs. Jordan Hicks. I played the F5 under in Hicks' first start and he rewarded me with 6.0 scoreless innings. In my analysis for that game, I mentioned that Hicks started out strong last season but wore down over the second half because he was a former relief pitcher not used to throwing that many innings. Woo was also sharp in his first start, allowing just one run over 6.0 innings. I think the total should be 3.5 in what I expect to be a potential pitcher's duel between Hicks and Woo.

Pick Made: Apr 06, 4:29 am UTC on BetMGM
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