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Expert Picks
OKC as a team will shoot better from deep. This is one of the best 3-point shooting teams of the regular season who had an off night. Chet Holmgren was 1/6 from deep in Game 2 and I expect one more to fall today. The shot volume is there and he as historic success hitting this over against Dallas, and also went over this in Game 1. This is worth a play at even money.
For the second time in the postseason Shai Gilgeous Alexander eclipsed over thirty points in game two’s loss. Expect SGA to be even more aggressive with the Thunder needing to regain the home court edge back. With a handful of trips to the free throw line and over twenty field goal attempts, take SGA’s points over.
Luka was way under in game 1…he barely went over in game 2 (finished with 10 after getting 7 early and flukey). Surprised this didn’t go down to 8.5
We have dealt with two bad beats in the totals in this series already, and should have just stayed on the game total. OKC defensive intensity waned in Game 2, plenty of pace to this series, plenty of shot-taking. Very quick turnaround here with travel, so I expect that to show up on the defensive side. Gafford's beat up hand could be an issue. Thunder will shoot better from range than they did Friday - when they got plenty of open looks. Mavs scored 120 last game and Kyrie barely shot the ball. Potential for this game to be played over 240.