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Sun, Apr 215:00 pm UTCTD Garden
Track OnCBS Sports
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L48-41
ATS43-42
O/U39-49-1
FINAL SCORE
94
-
114
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L80-21
ATS53-44
O/U50-49-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
48-41
Win /Loss
80-21
43-42
Spread
53-44
39-49-1
Over / Under
50-49-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ BOS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIA @ BOS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
MIA @ BOS
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

31%
PUBLIC
69%
MONEY
17%
PUBLIC
83%
MONEY
Over90%
PUBLIC
Under10%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsTyler Herro Under 34.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -125
WIN
Unit0.5
+743.5
34-17 in Last 51 NBA Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Herro was awesome in the play-in win over Chicago and blew past this number, but considering the Celtics don't have to worry about Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier, they can focus their excellent defenders such as Jrue Holiday and Derrick White on Herro. Both the SL Model and our AI model have Herro landing Under this.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 4:15 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderOver 209 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+1667
88-65 in Last 153 NBA O/U Picks
+540
12-6 in Last 18 MIA O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It's not as if the Heat have never played without Jimmy Butler before. Though Erik Spoelstra would much rather have Butler (and G Terry Rozier, nursing a sore neck and iffy for today) available, Miami has usually fared decently whenever without "Playoff Jimmy," as the case in the Friday play-in vs. the Bulls when rolling 112-91. UCLA rookie Jaime Jaquez, Jr (21 points) continues to impress, and Tyler Herro remains a true spark for the offense. Boston will be primed after getting KO'd by Miami in the East final last spring, but that's also built into the spread; the "total" appears more reasonable, especially as both have been going consistently "over" (Miami 10-2 last 12, Boston 13-4 last 17). Play Heat-Celtics "Over"

Pick Made: Apr 21, 8:08 am UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Avatar
Total AssistsTyler Herro Over 5.5 Total Assists -104
LOSS
Unit1.0
+37
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Jimmy Butler and Terry Rozier are out, and Duncan Robinson is questionable. Tyler Herro will run the offense and he has dished out 26 assists in his last three games. While this is an incredibly tough matchup, Herro's heavy usage should get him to 6-plus assists.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 3:20 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsJaylen Brown Over 21.5 Total Points -127
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Jaylen Brown has been the Celtics best player over the second half of the season. He also is exactly the type of player that typically gives Miami's excellent interior defense fits. The Celtics are likely highly motivated to put away Miami after getting upset by Miami last season. Jaylen Brown should play upwards of 40+ minute and this line is simply a couple ticks too low for the All-Star wing.

Pick Made: Apr 21, 1:37 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadBoston -14 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+378
16-11-1 in Last 28 NBA ATS Picks
+388
4-1 in Last 5 MIA ATS Picks
Brad's Analysis:

Miami is coming off a huge performance to get into this series and all the talk is about how they're going to grind Boston down again. They might do that, but not in Game 1. Boston is ready to set the tone and will run Miami out of the gym to start the series.

Pick Made: Apr 20, 9:11 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Avatar
SG
Dru Smith
AchillesOfs
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
AnkleOut
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
PG
Isaiah Stevens
FootOut
Boston Celtics
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Avatar
SF
Jaylen Brown
KneeOut
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
PF
Jayson Tatum
AchillesOut
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