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Sat, Apr 201:30 am UTCSmoothie King Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Sacramento
Kings
SAC
Last 5 ATS
W/L47-37
ATS43-40
O/U36-46-2
FINAL SCORE
98
-
105
New Orleans
Pelicans
NO
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-38
ATS46-40
O/U37-49-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
47-37
Win /Loss
50-38
43-40
Spread
46-40
36-46-2
Over / Under
37-49-1
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
Avatar
SG
Key Injuries
Avatar
SF
Avatar
PG
Avatar
SF
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
SAC @ NO
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MONEYLINE
SAC @ NO
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OVER / UNDER
SAC @ NO
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58%
PUBLIC
42%
MONEY
69%
PUBLIC
31%
MONEY
Over77%
PUBLIC
Under23%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsKeegan Murray Under 23.5 Total Points + Rebounds -137
WIN
Unit1.0
Erik's Analysis:

Fade the guy who had the career night at home and now has pressure on the road. He will hang outside and I think he will go under on both his points and rebounds

Pick Made: Apr 20, 1:16 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
1st Half Total Points1st Half Under 108.5 -110
WIN
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

Without Zion the Pels will make sure they start cautiously. Sac is better than you think on D and they usually score more in the second half

Pick Made: Apr 20, 1:12 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total PointsKeegan Murray Under 17.5 Total Points -132
WIN
Unit1.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This is a big line for Keegan Murray who is coming off an arguably career best game versus the Warriors. Murray has a much more difficult matchup against a Pelicans defense ranked 7th in Defensive Efficiency. Additionally New Orleans is excellent at guarding the perimeter and the Pels surrender just 35% from deep to opponents, the second lowest mark in the league. This does not bode well for Murray who attempts more than half of his field goals from the three point line.

Pick Made: Apr 20, 12:59 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadNew Orleans -1 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+2001.25
170-108 in Last 278 NBA Picks
+373
8-5 in Last 13 NBA ATS Picks
+520
14-8 in Last 22 SAC ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Well, the CBS Sports research staff talked me into this on our work Slack channel. Man, if I had their knowledge and some free time! Obviously knew the Pelicans were 5-0 vs. the Kings this season and I probably was gonna pass with no Zion Williamson. Then the researchers told me that in the five games, New Orleans was plus-45 in the series when Zion was NOT on the court. The one game he missed, the Pels won by 33 in Sac-Town. If the Kings were fully healthy, I'm still not playing this. Remind me not to buy the research department an Edible Arrangement again this year if this loses ... check that. I shall send them some Schrute Farm Beets.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 10:45 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Total Points + Assists + ReboundsJonas Valanciunas Over 22.5 Total Points + Assists + Rebounds -135
WIN
Unit1.0
Mike's Analysis:

The Pelicans will try to advance with their star power forward Zion Williamson (hamstring) sidelined. Domantas Sabonis is a handful in the middle, so expect Jonas Valanciunas to see a boost in playing time. During the regular season, he averaged 27 minutes across five meetings with the Kings. He posted at least 26 combined points, rebounds and assists in each of those meetings. Look for him to play enough Friday for him to reach this over.

Pick Made: Apr 19, 5:34 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadNew Orleans +1.5 -108
WIN
Unit1.0
+3578
197-147-3 in Last 347 NBA Picks
+2461
108-76-2 in Last 186 NBA ATS Picks
+241
8-5 in Last 13 SAC ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Apparently the oddsmakers, upon directives from the wagering masses, are ready to downplay the Pelicans' chances in this play-in vs. the Kings at Smoothie King because of the absence of Zion Williamson (hamstring), who was admittedly the star (40 points) in the close Tuesday loss to the Lake Show. But consider the 5-0 Pels' SU mark vs. the Kings this season, which includes a 133-100 romp at Golden 1 Center on January 7 when Zion was absent...and Willie Green's side nonetheless piled up a 50-point lead (!) in the 3rd Q. The Pels have dominated Sacto this season because they have owned the glass (190-131 rebound edge across five games), and NO did recently get Brandon Ingram back to active duty. Play Pelicans

Pick Made: Apr 18, 4:27 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Sacramento Kings
Thursday, Oct 03, 2024
Avatar
SG
Devin Carter
ShoulderOut
New Orleans Pelicans
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Avatar
SF
Brandon Ingram
AnkleOut
Avatar
PG
Jose Alvarado
HamstringOut
Avatar
PF
Zion Williamson
HamstringOut
Avatar
PF
Karlo Matkovic
BackOut
Sunday, Dec 22, 2024
Avatar
SF
Trey Murphy III
AnkleQuestionable
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