Austin Reaves has been on a hot streak. He's hit 20+ points and rebounds in 3 of his last 4 games, and the one under was just 18. Sacramento has a hard time with guards like Reaves, as guards with similar averages are 11-3 to this over against them. Reaves is 19-13 to this over at home, and between AD and LeBron both GTD, there is a good chance Reaves see's a lot of production tonight.

This is a big number for AD who averages a combined 40.8 PRA on the season. Sacramento has been stingy against opposing Centers all season and surrendering the third fewest points to the position. It's all but a formality at this point for Lebron to be listed as Questionable and end up playing. I believe this will tick down closer to 40.5 when that happens so I'm comfortable speculating a bit.

Russell is playing his best ball of the season and had a great Feb and is keeping it going in March. The Kings defense always lapses (or relapses) and Russell is way over this in 2 of 3 games vs them. Russel is over this in 11 of 13 games since Feb. 1, he's playing 34+ minutes with regularity the last few weeks and seeing plenty of the ball. Over that 13-game span Russell has averaged 27 P+A per game. Markets haven't seemed to catch up yet. SAC allowing 29 AST/G last 10 (8th most in NBA). I could see a 20 point/8 assist game here for Russell

De'Aaron Fox enjoys facing the Lakers, and especially D'Angelo Russell. He has scored 28 or more points in seven of his last eight meetings with the Lakers, including putting up 28 and 37 this season. Fox is coming off a fairly low-volume game for him, going 8 of 16 for 20 points in a loss to the Bulls. In the previous five games, he took 24, 22, 18, 26 and 31 shots. It all sets up for Fox to go Over this point total.