Simulation Picks
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks!
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Expert Picks
As great as De’Aaron Fox’s Game 1 was, he had no choice but to elevate his offense. Multiple teammates had off nights and Fox had to carry the load. Expect Fox to distribute the basketball a bit more in Game 2, and for the Warriors to have a better game plan defensively to hinder Fox. Take his Under 27.5 points
This is tricky because I so want the Kings to win, but the Dubs have never trailed 2-0 in a playoff series when both Steph Curry and Klay Thompson have been healthy. I'm not sure the Kings can count on 32 bench points from Malik Monk again. Without him going nuts, the Dubs would have won the opener. The Warriors have won each of their last nine Western Conference first-round games following a loss.
Klay Thompson has hit this over in 9 of his last 10 games. The Kings were doing everything in their power to deny Steph Curry the ball, they don’t want to lose to him. If I am the Warriors, I have Curry bring the ball up few more times and run a play they don’t use often but gets Klay wide open threes. Hear the full story on Early Edge in 5 at 4pm ET.
Green is not looking to shoot. He attempted only five shots in Game 1 and had a 13.2 percent usage rate during the regular season. However, he is arguably the Warriors’ best passer, and he has a ton of shooters around him. He plays a significant role with facilitating their offense, which leaves the ball in his hands a lot. That contributed to his three turnovers in Game 1, marking his 10th straight games with at least three turnovers. In four regular season meetings with the Kings, Green had at least three turnovers three times. Give me the over to hit again.
We played this in Game 1 and it hit with Curry scoring exactly 30 points. He led the Warriors with 20 shot attempts, 14 of which came from behind the arc. The Kings play tough at home, so this game should at least be close. With both teams playing at fast paces and the Warriors trying to avoid a 0-2 series deficit, look for them to turn to Curry early and often to try and get them a win.
The Kings are a lot of fun to watch on offense, but their defense is the reason I'm skeptical about them in this series, and in the playoffs in general. In Game One the Kings allowed a lot of open shots, and the Warriors missed a lot more of them than they usually do (including a wide open look for Andrew Wiggins late that could've won the game). I don't make a habit of betting on the Warriors to miss shots two games in a row.
Monk's points + assists + rebounds line feels at least three points too low for me. After all, the Kings 6th man scored 32 points alone in Game 1, not to mentioned he averaged 17 points, 4 rebounds, and 5 assists in three regular season games against Golden State. The key to Monk hitting this prop is whether he takes double-digit shot attempts. In his last 12 games attempting 10 or more field goals, he's 9-3 to the over 22.5 points + assists + rebounds. In a game with the over/under nearing 240, it seems likely that Monk will have plenty of opportunities to score once again for Sacramento.