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Sat, Oct 1212:08 am UTCDodger Stadium
68 F
Track OnCBS Sports
San Diego
Padres
SD
Last 5 ML
W/L97-72
ATS86-83
O/U86-78-5
FINAL SCORE
0
-
2
Los Angeles
Dodgers
LAD
Last 5 ML
W/L109-69
ATS93-85
O/U100-71-7
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
97-72
Win /Loss
109-69
86-83
Spread
93-85
86-78-5
Over / Under
100-71-7
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
SD @ LAD
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MONEYLINE
SD @ LAD
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OVER / UNDER
SD @ LAD
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22%
PUBLIC
78%
MONEY
18%
PUBLIC
82%
MONEY
Over77%
PUBLIC
Under23%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineSan Diego +122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+365
9-6 in Last 15 MLB Picks
+352
15-13 in Last 28 MLB ML Picks
+326
5-2 in Last 7 LAD ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

I thought the Friars would have wrapped this up by now. I didn't think they would go into a prolonged batting funk ... But I love the fact that they can get after Yammamoto here, who they own. This is the third big spot for him vs the Friars - opening day on the Far East, opening game of this series, and now the deciding Game 5. Manny Machado will lead the way and the Dodgers will hit the starter again and silence the crowd at Chavez Ravine. This is where the Dodgers come up short. I prefer the length of the Friars lineup, still.

Pick Made: Oct 11, 7:44 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineL.A. Dodgers -139
WIN
Unit1.0
+3481
94-55 in Last 149 MLB Sides Picks
+3381
93-55 in Last 148 MLB ML Picks
+1660
39-22 in Last 61 SD ML Picks
Zack's Analysis:

Success twice in a postseason series as a starting pitcher is so tough to replicate. I expect that to be the case tonight for San Diego Padres starter Yu Darvish. Darvish has also had issues in close out postseason games where he is 0-2 in his career. Losses in 2017 in game seven of the World Series, and two seasons ago in the NLDS to the Philadelphia Phillies. Take the Dodgers to win a tight one, and advance to the NLCS.

Pick Made: Oct 11, 5:18 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineSan Diego +122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1708
63-43-2 in Last 108 MLB Picks
+634
20-14 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+718
29-21 in Last 50 LAD ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

It's the Padres and Dodgers. Yoshinobu Yamamoto won't be around for very long as in his last seven starts he's only grabbed one win and had six no decisions like his last start against the Padres in game one when he gave up five runs in three innings but the Dodgers eventually won 7-5. It's not good for him right now. Whereas Yu Darvish is at his absolute finest form right now with six straight wins including game two when he dominated the Dodgers with one run in seven innings in a 10-2 victory. I think Darvish is going to inspire everybody including the Padre bats. And the best part of it all, the Padres are an underdog for some reason. The Padres win.

Pick Made: Oct 11, 4:16 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadSan Diego +1 -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+314
6-2 in Last 8 MLB ATS Picks
+327.5
50-35-1 in Last 86 LAD ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I'd feel better about San Diego's chances if it were Joe Musgrove instead of Yu Darvish as Darvish doesn't have a great history of coming up big in big games, but he was terrific in the Game 2 victory in Los Angeles. Counterpart Yoshinobu Yamamoto was hammered in Game 1. The Padres' bullpen is much deeper/better.

Pick Made: Oct 11, 3:03 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineSan Diego +120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+2163
93-76 in Last 169 MLB ML Picks
+390
8-4 in Last 12 SD ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

It's come down to a winner-take-all in this NLDS tonight. Despite Game Four's result, the advantage, might be with the Padres. Simply, Yu Darvish has been outstanding lately on the mound, with SD winning in all six of his starts since the start of September. That includes Sunday's Game 2 romp when Darvish allowed just one run and three hits thru 7 IP. Moreover, he tied Shohei Ohtani in knots. As for LA's Yoshinobu Yamamoto, he was ineffective in Game One, chased following the third inning after allowing 5 runs and 5 hits, only for the Dodger offense to eventually spare him a loss. Meanwhile, unlike most other teams, the Padres relish these trips to Chavez Ravine. Play Padres on Money Line

Pick Made: Oct 11, 8:47 am UTC on BetMGM

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Team Injuries

San Diego Padres
Sunday, Mar 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Yu Darvish
RestQuestionable
Avatar
SP
Matt Waldron
ObliqueOut
Sunday, Mar 09, 2025
Avatar
RP
Bryan Hoeing
ShoulderOut
Wednesday, Feb 26, 2025
Avatar
SP
Joe Musgrove
ElbowOut
Sunday, Feb 23, 2025
Avatar
RP
Sean Reynolds
FootOut
Los Angeles Dodgers
Friday, Nov 15, 2024
Avatar
RP
Brusdar Graterol
ShoulderOut
Tuesday, Nov 05, 2024
Avatar
SP
Emmet Sheehan
ElbowOut
Sunday, Mar 16, 2025
Avatar
RF
Mookie Betts
IllnessQuestionable
Avatar
SP
Bobby Miller
HeadQuestionable
Tuesday, Mar 11, 2025
Avatar
SP
Tony Gonsolin
BackOut
Sunday, Mar 09, 2025
Avatar
SP
Michael Grove
ShoulderOut
Wednesday, Mar 05, 2025
Avatar
RP
Evan Phillips
ShoulderOut
Tuesday, Mar 04, 2025
Avatar
SP
Michael Kopech
ForearmQuestionable
Avatar
SP
Edgardo Henriquez
FootOut
Thursday, Feb 20, 2025
Avatar
SP
Gavin Stone
ShoulderIl
Tuesday, Feb 18, 2025
Avatar
SP
Clayton Kershaw
ToeOut
Thursday, Feb 13, 2025
Avatar
RP
Kyle Hurt
ElbowOut
Avatar
SP
River Ryan
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
94-74, +873
94-72, -1055
56%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
47-36, +1360
47-36, -741
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
52%
38-35, +1088
82-51, -352
61%
When Line was +108 to +138
MONEY LINE
When Line was -161 to -131
58%
10-7, +521
23-12, +420
65%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
57%
30-22, +1442
41-30, -799
57%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
56%
37-29, +1042
26-21, +2
55%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
55%
64-51, +112
17-15, -38
53%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
79%
19-5, +1380
11-15, -791
42%
vs LAD
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SD
55%
10-8, +482
7-9, -379
43%
when Yu Darvish starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Yoshinobu Yamamoto starts
76%
13-4, +755
12-7, -73
63%
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