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Thu, Oct 0311:08 pm UTCAmerican Family Field
66 F
Track OnCBS Sports
New York
Mets
NYM
Last 5 ML
W/L96-79
ATS92-80
O/U93-77-5
FINAL SCORE
4
-
2
Milwaukee
Brewers
MIL
Last 5 ML
W/L94-71
ATS85-78
O/U83-70-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
96-79
Win /Loss
94-71
92-80
Spread
85-78
93-77-5
Over / Under
83-70-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYM @ MIL
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MONEYLINE
NYM @ MIL
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OVER / UNDER
NYM @ MIL
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22%
PUBLIC
78%
MONEY
25%
PUBLIC
75%
MONEY
Over75%
PUBLIC
Under25%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total HitsPete Alonso Over 0.5 Total Hits -161
WIN
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

PA has been bad. But this is a great spot for him to turn it. Prolly won’t walk and has been moved UP in the lineup

Pick Made: Oct 03, 10:53 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineN.Y. Mets +110
WIN
Unit1.0
+1522
61-43-3 in Last 107 MLB Picks
+673
12-6 in Last 18 MLB ML Picks
+330
3-0 in Last 3 NYM ML Picks
Bob's Analysis:

Jose Quintana owns a 3.86 road ERA. But, in September, he owned a 0.72 ERA in four starts. His last start was against this Brewers team, allowing two runs in 4.1 innings. Tobias Myers owns a 2.86 home ERA and shut out New York in the same game Quintana started. The Mets have had 15 hits and nine walks in the first two games and will need to capitalize with runners in scoring position. The public is heavily on Milwaukee and the line keeps creeping in the Mets favor.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 10:00 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineMilwaukee -130
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3481
94-55 in Last 149 MLB Sides Picks
+3381
93-55 in Last 148 MLB ML Picks
+1875
38-17 in Last 55 MIL ML Picks
Zack's Analysis:

In any postseason sport involving a series, leaving the door open usually comes back to bite a team. That is the case for the New York Mets who unraveled in the eighth inning yesterday. Now the Brewers have Tobias Myers on the mound who is fresh. Over his last two regular season starts he threw just 49 and 56 pitches. Take the Brewers to close out the Mets and advance to the NLDS.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 4:12 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineMilwaukee -122
LOSS
Unit1.0
+395
43-39 in Last 82 MLB Picks
+308
19-15 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+525
15-9 in Last 24 MIL ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I like the way the Brewers pitching sets up better here with Tobias Myers over Jose Quintana and then both Devin Williams and Trevor Megill looking good in Game 2 without being overworked. The Mets were running on fumes and vibes, but didn't score after the second inning in Game 2 and Francisco Lindor is clearly compromised. The Brewers saved their season in the eighth inning in Game 2 and will stay alive to the next round now.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 3:03 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadN.Y. Mets +1 -149
WIN
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+314
6-2 in Last 8 MLB ATS Picks
+1470.5
42-21-1 in Last 64 NYM ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I don't like either of these franchises so don't much care which advances (well, I'll never root for a New York team to succeed in anything), although it certainly would be better theater to see Mets-Phillies than Brewers-Phils in the NLDS. If this were the NBA, I might say the "fix" is in for big-market NY. New York's bullpen has to be completely fried by this point but just something about this team. Tonight's starter Jose Quintana had a 0.72 ERA in September and has playoff experience, while Brewers rookie Tobias Myers has none (he could follow an opener). I simply expect a one-run game either way.

Pick Made: Oct 03, 12:20 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineN.Y. Mets +105
WIN
Unit1.0
+2163
93-76 in Last 169 MLB ML Picks
+309
6-3 in Last 9 NYM ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We are wondering if Phil Maton even shows up tonight for the Mets in their bullpen after giving up a pair of homers in the 8th inning on Wednesday and sidetracking the Mets from closing out this best-of-three in the wildcard round. But the pitching matchup still looks good for New York tonight because of Jose Quintana, who hadn't given up a run in three September starts before facing these same Brewers on this same field last Saturday and allowing a pair of runs, which upped his ERA for the month to....0.72. Meanwhile, Pat Murphy has had Tobias Myers on a shorter leash lately, as his more-recent starts have mostly been around four innings. Play Mets on Money Line

Pick Made: Oct 03, 6:40 am UTC on BetRivers

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Team Injuries

New York Mets
Sunday, Apr 06, 2025
Avatar
C
Luis Torrens
ForearmQuestionable
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
Avatar
SP
Sean Manaea
ObliqueIl
Sunday, Mar 30, 2025
Avatar
CF
Rafael Ortega
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Yacksel Rios
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Oliver Ortega
ElbowIl
Friday, Mar 28, 2025
Avatar
2B
Jeff McNeil
ObliqueIl
Avatar
2B
Ronny Mauricio
KneeIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
RP
Frankie Montas
LatIl
Avatar
RP
Luis Ortiz
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Adbert Alzolay
ElbowIl
Avatar
C
Francisco Alvarez
HandIl
Wednesday, Mar 26, 2025
Avatar
SP
Paul Blackburn
KneeIl
Saturday, Mar 01, 2025
Avatar
SP
Christian Scott
ElbowIl
Friday, Feb 28, 2025
Avatar
3B
Nick Madrigal
ShoulderIl
Saturday, Feb 15, 2025
Avatar
RP
Drew Smith
ElbowIl
Milwaukee Brewers
Wednesday, Apr 02, 2025
Avatar
SP
Brandon Woodruff
ShoulderIl
Avatar
SP
Aaron Civale
HamstringIl
Avatar
SP
Aaron Ashby
ObliqueIl
Avatar
SP
Tobias Myers
ObliqueIl
Tuesday, Apr 01, 2025
Avatar
RP
Nick Mears
IllnessIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
RF
Blake Perkins
Lower LegIl
Avatar
RP
Thomas Pannone
ForearmIl
Avatar
RP
J.B. Bukauskas
LatIl
Wednesday, Mar 05, 2025
Avatar
RP
DL Hall
LatIl
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Robert Gasser
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
89-74, +735
94-70, +1264
57%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
54%
45-38, +769
47-36, +76
56%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
46%
40-47, -97
56-34, +445
62%
When Line was -106 to +124
MONEY LINE
When Line was -144 to -114
51%
24-23, +357
31-20, +455
60%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
46%
27-31, +140
36-21, +272
63%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
46%
36-41, -284
28-27, +272
50%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
54%
19-16, +232
71-51, +770
58%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
58%
69-50, +1108
62-53, +30
53%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
25%
2-6, -407
6-2, +395
75%
when Jose Quintana starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Tobias Myers starts
60%
12-8, +379
9-7, +71
56%
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