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Tue, Sep 1010:40 pm UTCCitizens Bank Park
79 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Tampa Bay
Rays
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L80-82
ATS89-73
O/U68-86-8
FINAL SCORE
4
-
9
Philadelphia
Phillies
PHI
Last 5 ML
W/L95-67
ATS75-86
O/U79-75-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
80-82
Win /Loss
95-67
89-73
Spread
75-86
68-86-8
Over / Under
79-75-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
TB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

OVER / UNDER
TB @ PHI
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

8%
PUBLIC
92%
MONEY
10%
PUBLIC
90%
MONEY
Over93%
PUBLIC
Under7%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsTaj Bradley Under 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs -139
LOSS
Unit0.5
Erik's Analysis:

Phil’s are hot and at home. Bradley is good but getting through 6 and this lineup 3x is too big of an ask

Pick Made: Sep 10, 10:19 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsTaj Bradley Under 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs -127
LOSS
Unit1.5
+2918.5
207-142 in Last 349 MLB Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Taj Bradley will have his hands full facing a Phillies lineup that is ranked 6th in OPS on the season. The Phillies have been white hot recently and through the month of September are sporting a ridiculous .818 OPS, good for tops in the majors. Bradley has had a solid season, however he has really struggled recently and possesses an ERA of over 10.0 since August 1st.

Pick Made: Sep 10, 7:30 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total BasesBryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases +120
WIN
Unit0.5
Jeff's Analysis:

Taj Bradley has allowed a hard-hit rate of 42.8%, while Bryce Harper has a hard-hit rate of 47.6%. Bradley throws his four-seam fastball 42%, split-finger 27%, and cutters 21% of the time. Harper has a .281 batting average with a .518 slugging percentage against four-seamers, a .273 average with a .500 slug against splitters, and a .462 average with a .731 slug against cutters. The Rays bullpen has allowed the 12th most hits (474) and the second-most home runs (77) in all of baseball.

Pick Made: Sep 10, 4:56 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Earned RunsTaj Bradley Over 2.5 Total Earned Runs -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Larry's Analysis:

Taj Bradley struck out 10 Twins last time out, but he still gave up four earned runs, giving him an 8.92 ERA over his last seven outings. He has served up 10 homers in that span and has allowed at least three earned runs in all seven. His hard-hit rate is in the 17th percentile, and his barrel rate is in the eighth percentile. The Phillies rank 10th in OPS against right-handed pitching and average just over five runs per game at home.

Pick Made: Sep 10, 4:12 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Tampa Bay Rays
Sunday, Mar 16, 2025
Avatar
C
Logan Driscoll
AnkleQuestionable
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
Avatar
2B
Ha-seong Kim
ShoulderOut
Avatar
RP
Nathan Lavender
ElbowIl
Philadelphia Phillies
Sunday, Mar 16, 2025
Avatar
RF
Max Kepler
BackQuestionable
Avatar
CF
Brandon Marsh
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
CF
Johan Rojas
ShoulderQuestionable
Monday, Mar 10, 2025
Avatar
RP
Matt Strahm
ShoulderOut
Saturday, Feb 22, 2025
Avatar
LF
Weston Wilson
ObliqueOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
52%
36-32, -794
31-35, +855
47%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
52%
19-17, -276
20-12, +1372
62%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
55%
31-25, -643
26-31, +900
45%
When Line was -151 to -121
MONEY LINE
When Line was +100 to +130
68%
13-6, +343
9-9, +147
50%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
55%
15-12, -210
16-9, +1388
64%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
66%
12-6, +135
7-11, -281
38%
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
60%
27-18, -11
5-5, +354
50%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
58%
34-24, -143
30-28, +1360
51%
vs CLB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NJ
50%
1-1, -37
1-1, +86
50%
when Jacob Markstrom starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Elvis Merzlikins starts
56%
23-18, -410
22-22, +816
50%
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