Feels like a great bounce back spot for the Yanks. As you know I do not take -1.5 unless my team is guaranteed their full 9 ABs….which the Yanks are here.

I have Luis Gil projected for 6.03 strikeouts, going under this line 60% of the time (-150) and giving us a 10% edge at the even-money price. He's gone over this number in 4 of 10 starts, but three of those came against the Mariners, White Sox and Rays, who are all strikeout-prone or poor offenses. The Angels are better than those teams, ranking 14th in K rate and wOBA. Gil definitely has high strikeout upside and can make me look silly, but at this price point I can't resist the fade.

Rob Manfred's many rules changes designed to juice the scoring of MLB games seem to be falling flat. Excluding the game at Coors Field, and runners beginning extra innings at second base, only 5.3 runs were scored pg in MLB action on Tuesday. Maybe it's good pitching; the Yankees could certainly claim that after their last five games allowing just nine runs total, and Wednesday starter Luis Gil has had a spectacular May, with an 0.59 ERA in five starts. Meanwhile, Tyler Anderson (2.52 ERA) has been the Halos' most-effective starter, and allowed just 2 runs across his last two starts vs. Texas and Houston. Play Yankees-Angels "Under"

I unsuccessfully faded Luis Gil in his last start but I'm going right back to the proverbial well against an underrated Angels lineup. Gil has surrendered just 2 ER in the month of May and has an elite ERA of 0.59 and has eclipsed this outs line in five consecutive starts. Gil hasn't been as dominant outside of Yankee stadium and the Angels have been one of the best lineups in the league in the month of May. Considering the excellent price we're getting and this is a tougher matchup than it may appear, I think this is a good spot to fade Gil.

Tyler Anderson is having a strong season on the surface, however he is a major regression candidate if we look at some of the expected metrics. He has the unenviable task of facing arguably the toughest lineup in the majors at the moment in a Yankees team that has an OPS over .800 in May, paired with a bottom five K rate. The Yankees have been very tough on opposing lefties as well, and I expect Anderson to struggle.

Both of these starters have amazing numbers but Luis Gil has been virtually unhittable and his stuff and velo plays and I expect him to shutdown this lineup. Yankees are just too deep and they can run up Anderson's count and get into that bullpen. Almost all of the Yankees wins cover the run line. Entered Tues 11-3 in their last 14 ATS. LAA 8-3 ATS last 11, but this will be a different level of test for their staff.