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Expert Picks
This rivalry matchup is as lopsided as it has been in recent memory. Even so, the offer of this massive number for an Oklahoma team that is allowing just 16 ppg is too sweet to pass up. We're willing to risk grabbing a bar of fool's gold to see if we might get the real deal.
I realize that crazy things happen in this game, but I'm going to rely on logic—and not results from years ago—to bet this game. The Sooners rank a woeful 121st in the country in total offense (297.8 yards per game). The offensive line has struggled all season, the top five receivers are all out because of injury and the quarterback is a true freshman. That's a recipe for disaster against a fast and fresh Texas defense that ranks second in the nation in scoring defense (7.0 points per game) and third in total defense (228.2 yards per game). Meanwhile quarterback Quinn Ewers returns to start for a Longhorns offense that is scoring 45.0 points a game (eighth nationally). Texas forever.
First things first at the Cotton Bowl on Saturday: there's no QB controversy at Texas despite the best-efforts of the national media to make it seem so after Arch Manning's solid recent efforts in relief. But Quinn Ewers is back in the lineup for the Red River Shootout...er, Rivalry and has the full backing of Steve Sarkisian to pick up where he left off a few weeks ago. Meanwhile, we wonder about that quick hook that OU coach Brent Venables had for QB Jackson Arnold, once dubbed a savior in Norman but now playing behind frosh Michael Hawkins, Jr. Let's also not forget a revenge motive here for the Longhorns after their bitter 34-30 loss to the Sooners last season. Play Texas (at Cotton Bowl)
Oklahoma's offense has been abysmal this season and it's going up against an elite defense. It's hard to expect the Sooners will score much. At the same time, Quinn Ewers hasn't played in weeks and is facing a strong Oklahoma defense as well. The Sooners caused him plenty of problems last year. I expect this one to be tight and low-scoring.
Usually the Red River Rivalry is a scoring fest as the last 14 versions have averaged more than 70 points per game. But the Sooners' offense isn't very good, Texas' defense is, and Oklahoma's defense is good enough to avoid giving up 35+. Either way, I don't think this game will be close and I also don't think OU will generate much on offense. Texas 29, Oklahoma 10.