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Both Florida and Arkansas are coming off two big wins. After being shut out in the first half by Tennessee last week, the Razorbacks roared back to defeat the Volunteers 24-13. Arkansas is now 6-0 ATS on the year and has extra motivation with quarterback Feleipe Franks facing his former team. Play Arkansas.
Arkansas QB Feleipe Franks spent his first three years in Gainesville as a Florida Gator. In 2020 Franks is putting up tremendous numbers, completing 67 percent of his passes for a career-best 8.6 yards per pass with 14 touchdowns to just three interceptions. The Gators are averaging 42.4 points per game while allowing 29 and they are 4-1 Over in 2020. Florida is coming off a 44-28 win over Georgia. Look for a shootout with Franks against his old team.
We know Florida can score, and score frequently. Arkansas has the ability to do that as well, plus, the Razorbacks have a running game with Rakeem Boyd that they can lean on. I like how their young defense has started to mature and make more plays on the ball. The Razorbacks, because of how they are built, along with former Gator QB Feleipe Franks, will put up a better fight than the Georgia Bulldogs did last weekend.
Kyle Trask is a legitimate Heisman candidate, so there's little doubt the Gators have the right QB under center. Even so, Feleipe Franks put in an underappreciated tenure for Florida before an injury gave Trask the opportunity to take the job. Franks was a prized pickup for the rebuilding Razorbacks and a major reason for their return to respectability. He will be motivated to have a big game against his former team, which could be in a letdown spot following last week's big win over Georgia.
It's very hard for me to trust Florida to cover spreads this large with how bad it has performed defensively. Even against an Arkansas offense that hasn't lit the world on fire, I expect the Hogs will find ways to get enough points on the board. Plus, Arkansas' defense has been tough this season, particularly against the pass, and we don't know the status of Florida's Kyle Pitts. The Gators offense stalled out against Georgia last week once Pitts had to leave the game.