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This is John Calipari’s first conference home game with the Razorbacks. Arkansas is off a rough showing against the Volunteers, only scoring 52 points well below their 80-point average on the year. This is Ole Miss’ third true road game of the season and have a strong defense that has only allows 64.5 points per game. They protect the ball well and create plenty of turnovers. The Razorback have had a plenty easy schedule at home thus far, holding opponents to less than 60 points per game, and they are shooting 59.7% effectively. They do have experienced guards to defend the perimeter well and look for a bounce back in Calipari’s SEC home debut.
Arkansas will try and avoid losing consecutive games for the first time this season. In Saturday’s loss to Tennessee they scored just 52 points, as Johnell Davis was scoreless off the bench in twenty five minutes of action. Look for Ole Miss to continue to give Arkansas problems on the defensive end of the floor, as opponents are averaging just 64 points per game. Grab the underdog here with Ole Miss.
I like this spot for Arkansas after getting blasted at Tennessee. Think the Hogs can get out in transition on Ole Miss. I worry a bit about Arkansas turning the ball over but once the line went to 2.5 at FanDuel, I hit it. I like the Hogs if you can get -3 or less. If you get -3.5 or -4, make it a half unit play. Anything over -4 is a pass.
I coached a little basketball in my day and sometimes you want your team to get smashed just as a wake-up call and get guys to practice and play harder. In that regard, I tend to think John Calipari didn't much mind his team getting Hog-tied on Saturday at No. 1 Tennessee to see a six-game winning streak snapped. But all three Arkansas losses are away. It ranks 9th in the NCAA in overall field goal percentage at 50.7% and ranks 5th in blocked shots, averaging 6.0 per game. Last time Ole Miss played away, it got blown out at Memphis. The Rebs seem to start about 12-2 every year then fade big-time in SEC play.